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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used for disease progression modeling when the true patient health state is not fully known. Since HMMs typically have multiple local optima, incorporating additional patient covariates can improve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Matt Baucum , Anahita Khojandi , Theodore Papamarkou

Although there have now been hundreds of transient gravitational-wave detections of merging compact stars by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) detector network, no continuous-wave (CW) signals have yet been discovered. To ensure that such signals,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-01-16 Preet Baxi , Jessica Leviton , Eilam Morag , Matthew Pitkin , Keith Riles

Markov state models (MSMs) have been successful in computing metastable states, slow relaxation timescales and associated structural changes, and stationary or kinetic experimental observables of complex molecules from large amounts of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Frank Noe , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Nuria Plattner

We aim to model unknown file processing. As the content of log files often evolves over time, we established a dynamic statistical model which learns and adapts processing and parsing rules. First, we limit the amount of unstructured text…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Nadine Kuhnert , Andreas Maier

I describe a new Markov chain method for sampling from the distribution of the state sequences in a non-linear state space model, given the observation sequence. This method updates all states in the sequence simultaneously using an…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

We recalculate the modes of the magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) waves in the MHD model (Shi, Zhang & Li 2014) of the kilohertz quasi-periodic oscillations (kHz QPOs) in neutron star low mass X-ray binaries (NS-LMXBs), in which the compressed…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2018-06-06 Chang-Sheng Shi , Shuang-Nan Zhang , Xiang-Dong Li

Searching for gravitational waves (GWs) from binary black holes (BBHs) with LIGO and Virgo involves matched-filtering data against a set of representative signal waveforms --- a template bank --- chosen to cover the full signal space of…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2016-06-08 Collin Capano , Ian Harry , Stephen Privitera , Alessandra Buonanno

In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state space hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the parameters of the model are unknown and replaced by estimators. We provide an explicit and time…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-24 Yohann De Castro , Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff

We report on a 12 hr XMM-Newton observation of the supergiant High-Mass X-ray Binary IGR J16207-5129. This is only the second soft X-ray (0.4-15 keV, in this case) study of the source since it was discovered by the INTEGRAL satellite. The…

We propose the Gaussian-Linear Hidden Markov model (GLHMM), a generalisation of different types of HMMs commonly used in neuroscience. In short, the GLHMM is a general framework where linear regression is used to flexibly parameterise the…

The formalism of state estimation and hidden Markov models (HMMs) can simplify and clarify the discussion of stochastic thermodynamics in the presence of feedback and measurement errors. After reviewing the basic formalism, we use it to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-11-13 John Bechhoefer

Deep learning (DL) methods have outperformed parametric models such as historical average, ARIMA and variants in predicting traffic variables into short and near-short future, that are critical for traffic management. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Agnimitra Sengupta , Adway Das , S. Ilgin Guler

When learning a hidden Markov model (HMM), sequen- tial observations can often be complemented by real-valued summary response variables generated from the path of hid- den states. Such settings arise in numerous domains, includ- ing many…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-17 Yizhe Zhang , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin , Jianling Zhong , Alexander J. Hartemink

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used to model animal movement data and infer aspects of animal behavior. An HMM assumes that each data point from a time series of observations stems from one of $N$ possible states. The states are…

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are powerful tools for analysing time series data that depend on discrete underlying but unobserved states. As such, they have gained prominence across numerous empirical disciplines, in particular ecology,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Jan-Ole Fischer

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) can be thought of as quantum probabilistic graphical models that can model sequential data. We extend previous work on HQMMs with three contributions: (1) we show how classical hidden Markov models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-26 Siddarth Srinivasan , Geoff Gordon , Byron Boots

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-10-01 Ben O`Neill , Tom M. Barlow , Dominik Safranek , Almut Beige

B-spline-based hidden Markov models employ B-splines to specify the emission distributions, offering a more flexible modelling approach to data than conventional parametric HMMs. We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference, enabling the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-03 Sida Chen , Bärbel Finkenstädt Rand

The search for Galactic binary gravitational waves is a critical challenge for future space-based gravitational wave detectors, such as LISA. We propose an innovative approach to simultaneously explore gravitational waves originating from…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Pin Gao , Xilong Fan , Zhoujian Cao