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The main focus of this work is on developing models for the activity profile of a terrorist group, detecting sudden spurts and downfalls in this profile, and, in general, tracking it over a period of time. Toward this goal, a $d$-state…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-16 Vasanthan Raghavan , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a ubiquitous tool to model time series data, and have been widely used in two main tasks of Automatic Music Transcription (AMT): note segmentation, i.e. identifying the played notes after a multi-pitch…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-13 D. Cazau , G. Nuel

We detect the deviation of the grid frequency from the nominal value (i.e., 50 Hz), which itself is an indicator of the power imbalance (i.e., mismatch between power generation and load demand). We first pass the noisy estimates of grid…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-07-04 Shah Hassan , Hadia Sajjad , Muhammad Mahboob Ur Rahman

Results are presented for a semi-coherent search for gravitational waves from the low-mass X-ray binary Scorpius X-1 in Observing Run 3 (O3) data from the Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory, using an updated orbital…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2023-10-31 Andrés F. Vargas , Andrew Melatos

1. Electronic telemetry is frequently used to document animal movement through time. Methods that can identify underlying behaviors driving specific movement patterns can help us understand how and why animals use available space, thereby…

The detection of quasi-periodic sources of gravitational waves requires the accumulation of signal-to-noise over long observation times. If not removed, Earth-motion induced Doppler modulations, and intrinsic variations of the…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Patrick R Brady , Teviet Creighton

Traditional approaches in mental health research apply General Linear Models (GLM) to describe the longitudinal dynamics of observed psycho-behavioral measurements (questionnaire summary scores). Similarly, GLMs are also applied to…

As two neutron stars merge, they emit gravitational waves that can potentially be detected by earth bound detectors. Matched-filtering based algorithms have traditionally been used to extract quiet signals embedded in noise. We introduce a…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2020-09-29 Marlin B. Schäfer , Frank Ohme , Alexander H. Nitz

Continuous nanohertz gravitational waves from individual supermassive black hole binaries may be detectable with pulsar timing arrays. A novel search strategy is developed, wherein intrinsic achromatic spin wandering is tracked…

We consider a class of filtering problems for large populations where each individual is modeled by the same hidden Markov model (HMM). In this paper, we focus on aggregate inference problems in HMMs with discrete state space and continuous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-09 Qinsheng Zhang , Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

We explore the use of traditional and contemporary hidden Markov models (HMMs) for sequential physiological data analysis and sepsis prediction in preterm infants. We investigate the use of classical Gaussian mixture model based HMM, and a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Antoine Honore , Dong Liu , David Forsberg , Karen Coste , Eric Herlenius , Saikat Chatterjee , Mikael Skoglund

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent $\textit{activity levels}$ that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-28 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts

Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of hidden Markov models (HMMs) involves latent states underlying an imperfect observation process, and generates posterior samples for top-level parameters concurrently with nuisance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-13 Daniel Turek , Perry de Valpine , Christopher J. Paciorek

Hidden Markov models (HMM) have been widely used by scientists to model stochastic systems: the underlying process is a discrete Markov chain and the observations are noisy realizations of the underlying process. Determining the number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-18 Yang Chen , Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao

We introduce a quantum Viterbi decoding algorithm for hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) motivated by quantum information processing and quantum algorithms. Given a finite sequence of measurement outcomes, the algorithm identifies hidden…

The gravitational memory effect manifests gravitational nonlinearity, degenerate vacua, and asymptotic symmetries; its detection is considered challenging. We propose using the space-borne interferometer to detect memory signals from…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2025-10-13 Shaoqi Hou , Zhi-Chao Zhao , Zhoujian Cao , Zong-Hong Zhu

Modeling continuous-time physiological processes that manifest a patient's evolving clinical states is a key step in approaching many problems in healthcare. In this paper, we develop the Hidden Absorbing Semi-Markov Model (HASMM): a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-12-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar