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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithm for drawing samples from smooth probability densities over continuous spaces. We study the variant most widely used in practice, Metropolized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-12 Yuansi Chen , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Rohitash Chandra , Joshua Simmons

The problem of large scale multiple testing arises in many contexts, including testing for pairwise interaction among large numbers of neurons. With advances in technologies, it has become common to record from hundreds of neurons…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-11-02 Bin Liu , Giuseppe Vinci , Adam C. Snyder , Robert E. Kass

Strongly non-Markovian random walks offer a promising modeling framework for understanding animal and human mobility, yet, few analytical results are available for these processes. Here we solve exactly a model with long range memory where…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Denis Boyer , Citlali Solis-Salas

In this paper we present an extension of population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the trans-dimensional case. One of the main challenges in MCMC-based inference is that of simulating from high and trans-dimensional target…

统计计算 · 统计学 2007-11-02 Ajay Jasra , David A. Stephens , Chris C. Holmes

Bayesian computation crucially relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In the case of massive data sets, running the Metropolis-Hastings sampler to draw from the posterior distribution becomes prohibitive due to the large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-07 Roberto Casarin , Radu V. Craiu , Fabrizio Leisen

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target…

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling and inference. With the advent of Big Data, distributed and parallel variants of MCMC methods are attracting increased attention. In this…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-07-16 Weiming Feng , Thomas P. Hayes , Yitong Yin

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to the problem of jointly modeling multiple related time series. Our model discovers a latent set of dynamical behaviors shared among the sequences, and segments each time series into regions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Emily B. Fox , Michael C. Hughes , Erik B. Sudderth , Michael I. Jordan

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Smoothing in state-space models amounts to computing the conditional distribution of the latent state trajectory, given observations, or expectations of functionals of the state trajectory with respect to this distributions. For models that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-11-10 Jimmy Olsson , Tobias Rydén

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

Monte Carlo algorithms simulate some prescribed number of samples, taking some random real time to complete the computations necessary. This work considers the converse: to impose a real-time budget on the computation, which results in the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Lawrence M. Murray , Sumeetpal Singh , Anthony Lee

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

Artificial Neural Networks were recently shown to be an efficient representation of highly-entangled many-body quantum states. In practical applications, neural-network states inherit numerical schemes used in Variational Monte Carlo, most…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2020-01-22 Or Sharir , Yoav Levine , Noam Wies , Giuseppe Carleo , Amnon Shashua

We consider exchangeable Markov multi-state survival processes -- temporal processes taking values over a state-space$\mathcal{S}$ with at least one absorbing failure state $\flat \in \mathcal{S}$ that satisfy natural invariance properties…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Walter Dempsey