相关论文: Motor Insurance Accidental Damage Claims Modeling …

This paper presents the hierarchical generalized linear model (HGLM) for loss reserving in a non-life insurance company. Because in this case the error of prediction is expressed by a complex analytical formula, the error bootstrap…

The recent work `A unified Bayesian inference framework for generalized linear models' \cite{meng1} shows that the GLM can be solved via iterating between the standard linear module (SLM) (running with standard Bayesian algorithm) and the…

This paper proposes a gamma process for modelling the damage that accumulates over time in the lumber used in structural engineering applications when stress is applied. The model separates the stochastic processes representing features…

In the estimation of the causal effect under linear Structural Causal Models (SCMs), it is common practice to first identify the causal structure, estimate the probability distributions, and then calculate the causal effect. However, if the…

This paper proposes a general modeling framework that allows for uncertainty quantification at the individual covariate level and spatial referencing, operating withing a double generalized linear model (DGLM). DGLMs provide a general…

Distributed Lag Models (DLMs) and similar regression approaches such as MIDAS have been used for many decades in econometrics and more recently to investigate how poor air quality adversely affects human health. In this paper we describe…

Hazard models are the most commonly used tool to analyse time-to-event data. If more than one time scale is relevant for the event under study, models are required that can incorporate the dependence of a hazard along two (or more) time…

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

In order to determine a suitable automobile insurance policy premium one needs to take into account three factors, the risk associated with the drivers and cars on the policy, the operational costs associated with management of the policy…

Bayesian Generalized Nonlinear Models (BGNLM) offer a flexible nonlinear alternative to GLM while still providing better interpretability than machine learning techniques such as neural networks. In BGNLM, the methods of Bayesian Variable…

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Casualty insurance-linked securities (ILS) are appealing to investors because the underlying insurance claims, which are directly related to resulting security performance, are uncorrelated with most other asset classes. Conversely,…

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Random shifting typically appears in credibility models whereas random scaling is often encountered in stochastic models for claim sizes reflecting the time-value property of money. In this article we discuss some aspects of random shifting…

The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is widely used for analyzing correlated data, particularly in large-scale biomedical and social science applications. Scalable Bayesian inference for GLMMs is challenging because the marginal…

Accurately diagnosing bearing faults is crucial for maintaining the efficient operation of rotating machinery. However, traditional diagnosis methods face challenges due to the diversification of application environments, including…

In this work, we study the use of logistic regression in manufacturing failures detection. As a data set for the analysis, we used the data from Kaggle competition Bosch Production Line Performance. We considered the use of machine…

Technological advances have led to a proliferation of structured big data that have matrix-valued covariates. We are specifically motivated to build predictive models for multi-subject neuroimaging data based on each subject's brain imaging…

Claim reserving in insurance has been studied through two primary frameworks: the macro-level approach, which estimates reserves at an aggregate level (e.g., Chain-Ladder), and the micro-level approach, which estimates reserves at the…

Designing, assuring and releasing safe automated vehicles is a highly interdisciplinary process. As complex systems, automated driving systems will inevitably be subject to emergent properties, i. e., the properties of the overall system…