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Species distribution models (SDM) are a key tool in ecology, conservation and management of natural resources. Two key components of the state-of-the-art SDMs are the description for species distribution response along environmental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-08 Jarno Vanhatalo , Marcelo Hartmann , Lari Veneranta

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

Species range maps (SRMs) are essential tools for research and policy-making in ecology, conservation, and environmental management. However, traditional SRMs rely on the availability of environmental covariates and high-quality species…

In ecology we may find scenarios where the same phenomenon (species occurrence, species abundance, etc.) is observed using two different types of samplers. For instance, species data can be collected from scientific sampling with a…

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

The dynamics of a rain forest is extremely complex involving births, deaths and growth of trees with complex interactions between trees, animals, climate, and environment. We consider the patterns of recruits (new trees) and dead trees…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Abdollah Jalilian , Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Species distribution models (SDMs) are key tools in ecology, conservation and management of natural resources. They are commonly trained by scientific survey data but, since surveys are expensive, there is a need for complementary sources…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Karel Kaurila , Sanna Kuningas , Antti Lappalainen , Jarno Vanhatalo

Evaluating ecological time series is critical for benchmarking model performance in many important applications, including predicting greenhouse gas fluxes, capturing carbon-nitrogen dynamics, and monitoring hydrological cycles. Traditional…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Qi Cheng , Licheng Liu , Qing Zhu , Runlong Yu , Zhenong Jin , Yiqun Xie , Xiaowei Jia

Discharge of hazardous substances into the marine environment poses a substantial risk to both public health and the ecosystem. In such incidents, it is imperative to accurately estimate the release strength of the source and reconstruct…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-29 Yang Liu , Christopher M. Harvey , Frederick E. Hamlyn , Cunjia Liu

This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-15 Lingling Tian , Chuanhua Wei , Mixia Wu

This article introduces a flexible and adaptive nonparametric method for estimating the association between multiple covariates and power spectra of multiple time series. The proposed approach uses a Bayesian sum of trees model to capture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Yakun Wang , Zeda Li , Scott A. Bruce

This paper deals with the issue of ecological bias in ecological inference. We provide an explicit formulation of the conditions required for the ordinary ecological regression to produce unbiased estimates and argue that, when these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Michela Gnaldi , Venera Tomaselli , Antonio Forcina

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

Presence-only data, point locations where a species has been recorded as being present, are often used in modeling the distribution of a species as a function of a set of explanatory variables---whether to map species occurrence, to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-16 David I. Warton , Leah C. Shepherd

We develop a new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values obtained using a linear regression model. We develop a new estimation method and outperform existing methodology and implementations. Compared to the sequential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Fredrik Lohne Aanes

Many research domains use data elicited from "citizen scientists" when a direct measure of a process is expensive or infeasible. However, participants may report incorrect estimates or classifications due to their lack of skill. We…

This paper introduces the novel piecewise stationary covariate-assisted ranking estimation (PS-CARE) model for analyzing time-evolving pairwise comparison data, enhancing item ranking accuracy through the integration of covariate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Yi Han , Thomas C. M. Lee

This paper considers a multi-environment linear regression model in which data from multiple experimental settings are collected. The joint distribution of the response variable and covariates may vary across different environments, yet the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-03 Jianqing Fan , Cong Fang , Yihong Gu , Tong Zhang