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We showcase how dropout variational inference can be applied to a large-scale deep learning model that predicts price movements from limit order books (LOBs), the canonical data source representing trading and pricing movements. We…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning to control which actions to take towards completing a task through trial-and-error. In many applications observing interactions is costly, necessitating sample-efficient learning. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Charles Gadd , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski

Process mining is a technique that performs an automatic analysis of business processes from a log of events with the promise of understanding how processes are executed in an organisation. Several models have been proposed to address this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-26 Catarina Moreira

Fine-scale simulation of complex systems governed by multiscale partial differential equations (PDEs) is computationally expensive and various multiscale methods have been developed for addressing such problems. In addition, it is…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-06-24 Govinda Anantha Padmanabha , Nicholas Zabaras

We present new techniques for automatically constructing probabilistic programs for data analysis, interpretation, and prediction. These techniques work with probabilistic domain-specific data modeling languages that capture key properties…

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

Automatic optimization for tensor programs becomes increasingly important as we deploy deep learning in various environments, and efficient optimization relies on a rich search space and effective search. Most existing efforts adopt a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Junru Shao , Xiyou Zhou , Siyuan Feng , Bohan Hou , Ruihang Lai , Hongyi Jin , Wuwei Lin , Masahiro Masuda , Cody Hao Yu , Tianqi Chen

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

The computational burden of probabilistic inference remains a hurdle for applying probabilistic programming languages to practical problems of interest. In this work, we provide a semantic and algorithmic foundation for efficient exact…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Steven Holtzen , Todd Millstein , Guy Van den Broeck

Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-10-01 Beyza Ermis , A. Taylan Cemgil

bnlearn is an R package which includes several algorithms for learning the structure of Bayesian networks with either discrete or continuous variables. Both constraint-based and score-based algorithms are implemented, and can use the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-07-13 Marco Scutari

With the advent of GPU-assisted hardware and maturing high-efficiency software platforms such as TensorFlow and PyTorch, Bayesian posterior sampling for neural networks becomes plausible. In this article we discuss Bayesian parametrization…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-05 Frederik Heber , Zofia Trstanova , Benedict Leimkuhler

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

We present ByzFL, an open-source Python library for developing and benchmarking robust federated learning (FL) algorithms. ByzFL provides a unified and extensible framework that includes implementations of state-of-the-art robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Marc González , Rachid Guerraoui , Rafael Pinot , Geovani Rizk , John Stephan , François Taïani

Machine learning models perform well across domains such as diagnostics, weather forecasting, NLP, and autonomous driving, but their limited uncertainty handling restricts use in safety-critical settings. Traditional neural networks often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Bernhard Klein , Falk Selker , Hendrik Borras , Sophie Steger , Franz Pernkopf , Holger Fröning

A large amount of recent research has the far-reaching goal of finding training methods for deep neural networks that can serve as alternatives to backpropagation (BP). A prominent example is predictive coding (PC), which is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Luca Pinchetti , Tommaso Salvatori , Yordan Yordanov , Beren Millidge , Yuhang Song , Thomas Lukasiewicz

We introduce Merlion, an open-source machine learning library for time series. It features a unified interface for many commonly used models and datasets for anomaly detection and forecasting on both univariate and multivariate time series,…

Some machine learning applications require continual learning - where data comes in a sequence of datasets, each is used for training and then permanently discarded. From a Bayesian perspective, continual learning seems straightforward:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-19 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal

Datasets in engineering applications are often limited and contaminated, mainly due to unavoidable measurement noise and signal distortion. Thus, using conventional data-driven approaches to build a reliable discriminative model, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

A large collection of time series poses significant challenges for classical and neural forecasting approaches. Classical time series models fail to fit data well and to scale to large problems, but succeed at providing uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-04 Danielle C. Maddix , Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola
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