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Online controlled experiments play a crucial role in enabling data-driven decisions across a wide range of companies. Variance reduction is an effective technique to improve the sensitivity of experiments, achieving higher statistical power…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-24 Hao Zhou , Kun Sun , Shaoming Li , Yangfeng Fan , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Tao Li

Given $n$ noisy samples with $p$ dimensions, where $n \ll p$, we show that the multi-step thresholding procedure based on the Lasso -- we call it the {\it Thresholded Lasso}, can accurately estimate a sparse vector $\beta \in \R^p$ in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-11 Shuheng Zhou

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE). While covariate adjustment can reduce the asymptotic variances of the unbiased Horvitz-Thompson estimators for the ATE, it suffers from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Xin Lu , Lei Shi , Hanzhong Liu , Peng Ding

Completely random measures provide a principled approach to creating flexible unsupervised models, where the number of latent features is infinite and the number of features that influence the data grows with the size of the data set. Due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-26 Peiyuan Zhu , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for constructing statistical models of errors incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized systems of nonlinear equations. These approximate solutions may arise from early termination of…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2019-02-18 Brian A. Freno , Kevin T. Carlberg

Autoregressive decoding with generative Large Language Models (LLMs) on accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) is often memory-bound where most of the time is spent on transferring model parameters from high bandwidth memory (HBM) to cache. On the other…

Linear thresholding models postulate that the conditional distribution of a response variable in terms of covariates differs on the two sides of a (typically unknown) hyperplane in the covariate space. A key goal in such models is to learn…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-01 Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Debasri Mukherjee , Ya'acov Ritov

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

\noindent Randomized nomination sampling (RNS) is a rank-based sampling technique which has been shown to be effective in several nonparametric studies involving environmental and ecological applications. In this paper, we investigate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-18 Mohammad Nourmohammadi , Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Brad Johnson

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

Extremile (Daouia, Gijbels and Stupfler,2019) is a novel and coherent measure of risk, determined by weighted expectations rather than tail probabilities. It finds application in risk management, and, in contrast to quantiles, it fulfills…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Rong Jiang , Keming Yu

A connection between the General Linear Model (GLM) in combination with classical statistical inference and the machine learning (MLE)-based inference is described in this paper. Firstly, the estimation of the GLM parameters is expressed as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Juan Manuel Gorriz , SIPBA group , John Suckling

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) with partial likelihoods involving a latent structure often entail an intractable marginalization, thus making inference hard. We propose a novel approach to Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) involving…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-20 Amrith Setlur , Barnabás Póczós

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We investigate the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) under a very general setup where the covariates can be high-dimensional, highly correlated, and can have sparse nonlinear effects on the propensity and outcome…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Jianqing Fan , Soham Jana , Sanjeev Kulkarni , Qishuo Yin

In this paper, we study the problem of sparse mean estimation under adversarial corruptions, where the goal is to estimate the $k$-sparse mean of a heavy-tailed distribution from samples contaminated by adversarial noise. Existing methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Jianhao Ma , Rui Ray Chen , Yinghui He , Salar Fattahi , Wei Hu

There remains an open question about the usefulness and the interpretation of Machine learning (MLE) approaches for discrimination of spatial patterns of brain images between samples or activation states. In the last few decades, these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-22 JM Gorriz , R. Martin-Clemente , C. G. Puntonet , A. Ortiz , J. Ramirez , J. Suckling

Knowing the link between observed predictive variables and outcomes is crucial for making inference in any regression model. When this link is missing, partially or completely, classical estimation methods fail in recovering the true…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Jinyu Chen