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This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

This paper develops new methods for causal inference in observational studies on a single large network of interconnected units, addressing two key challenges: long-range dependence among units and the presence of general interference. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-24 Jizhou Liu , Dake Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We propose a simple and general framework for nonparametric estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under fairness constraints. Under standard regularity conditions, we show that the resulting estimators possess the double robustness…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-21 Kwangho Kim , José R. Zubizarreta

In order to identify important variables that are involved in making optimal treatment decision, Lu et al. (2013) proposed a penalized least squared regression framework for a fixed number of predictors, which is robust against the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-16 Chengchun Shi , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu

Semiparametric efficient estimation of various multi-valued causal effects, including quantile treatment effects, is important in economic, biomedical, and other social sciences. Under the unconfoundedness condition, adjustment for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-20 Xiaohong Chen , Ying Liu , Shujie Ma , Zheng Zhang

Important advances have recently been achieved in developing procedures yielding uniformly valid inference for a low dimensional causal parameter when high-dimensional nuisance models must be estimated. In this paper, we review the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-08 Niloofar Moosavi , Jenny Häggström , Xavier de Luna

We study the problem of learning personalized decision policies from observational data while accounting for possible unobserved confounding. Previous approaches, which assume unconfoundedness, i.e., that no unobserved confounders affect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

This paper aims at analyzing the regularization effect that data augmentation induces on supervised regression methods in the proportional regime, where the number of covariates grows proportionally to the number of samples. We provide a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Lucas Morisset , Alain Durmus , Adrien Hardy

This paper presents an inference method for the local average treatment effect (LATE) in the presence of high-dimensional covariates, regardless of the strength of identification. We propose an orthogonalized Anderson-Rubin test statistic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Yukun Ma

We focus on the problem of generalizing a causal effect estimated on a randomized controlled trial (RCT) to a target population described by a set of covariates from observational data. Available methods such as inverse propensity sampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Imke Mayer , Julie Josse , Traumabase Group

Unlike parametric regression, machine learning (ML) methods do not generally require precise knowledge of the true data generating mechanisms. As such, numerous authors have advocated for ML methods to estimate causal effects.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-15 Ashley I Naimi , Alan E Mishler , Edward H Kennedy

Model-assisted estimation with complex survey data is an important practical problem in survey sampling. When there are many auxiliary variables, selecting significant variables associated with the study variable would be necessary to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-01 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a crucial but challenging task. Currently, only a limited number of data-driven causal effect estimation methods are available. These methods either provide only a bound estimation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Statistical causal inference from observational studies often requires adjustment for a possibly multi-dimensional variable, where dimension reduction is crucial. The propensity score, first introduced by Rosenbaum and Rubin, is a popular…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Hui Guo , Philip Dawid , Giovanni Berzuini

Heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in high-stakes applications demands models that simultaneously optimize precision, interpretability, and calibration. Many existing tree-based causal inference techniques, however, exhibit high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-21 Yichen Liu

In statistical inference, it is rarely realistic that the hypothesized statistical model is well-specified, and consequently it is important to understand the effects of misspecification on inferential procedures. When the hypothesized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-01 Beomjo Park , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Standard estimators of the global average treatment effect can be biased in the presence of interference. This paper proposes regression adjustment estimators for removing bias due to interference in Bernoulli randomized experiments. We use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-06 Alex Chin

Area-specific causal inference is important in many policy and survey applications, where the goal is to evaluate treatment effects for small geographic or demographic domains. Existing causal small area estimation methods, however,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Tsubasa Ito , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In randomized experiments, the actual treatments received by some experimental units may differ from their treatment assignments. This non-compliance issue often occurs in clinical trials, social experiments, and the applications of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 Jiyang Ren