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The consideration of predictive uncertainty in medical imaging with deep learning is of utmost importance. We apply estimation of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-27 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Jacob F. Fast , Lüder A. Kahrs , Tobias Ortmaier

In spatial statistics, fast and accurate parameter estimation, coupled with a reliable means of uncertainty quantification, can be challenging when fitting a spatial process to real-world data because the likelihood function might be slow…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-31 Julia Walchessen , Amanda Lenzi , Mikael Kuusela

To have a superior generalization, a deep learning neural network often involves a large size of training sample. With increase of hidden layers in order to increase learning ability, neural network has potential degradation in accuracy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-01 Lianfa Li , Ying Fang , Jun Wu , Jinfeng Wang

Neural networks are known to develop latent representations that are $aligned$, namely structurally similar across networks trained with different architectures, training protocols, or training datasets. We study this phenomenon in a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Ali Hussaini Umar , Alessandro Laio

We show that training a deep network using batch normalization is equivalent to approximate inference in Bayesian models. We further demonstrate that this finding allows us to make meaningful estimates of the model uncertainty using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-17 Mattias Teye , Hossein Azizpour , Kevin Smith

Deterministic neural nets have been shown to learn effective predictors on a wide range of machine learning problems. However, as the standard approach is to train the network to minimize a prediction loss, the resultant model remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-02 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Melih Kandemir

To assure that an autonomous car is driving safely on public roads, its object detection module should not only work correctly, but show its prediction confidence as well. Previous object detectors driven by deep learning do not explicitly…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-09-10 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Klaus Dietmayer

Likelihood ratios are used for a variety of applications in particle physics data analysis, including parameter estimation, unfolding, and anomaly detection. When the data are high-dimensional, neural networks provide an effective tools for…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-03-27 Fernando Torales Acosta , Tanvi Wamorkar , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Apostolos F Psaros , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

There is significant need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems as they are increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains. A new approach with uncertainty-aware neural networks (NNs), based on learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-25 Nis Meinert , Alexander Lavin

The likelihood ratio is a crucial quantity for statistical inference in science that enables hypothesis testing, construction of confidence intervals, reweighting of distributions, and more. Many modern scientific applications, however,…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2024-12-11 Shahzar Rizvi , Mariel Pettee , Benjamin Nachman

To facilitate a wide-spread acceptance of AI systems guiding decision making in real-world applications, trustworthiness of deployed models is key. That is, it is crucial for predictive models to be uncertainty-aware and yield…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-04 Christian Tomani , Florian Buettner

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Intuitively, one would expect accuracy of a trained neural network's prediction on test samples to correlate with how densely the samples are surrounded by seen training samples in representation space. We find that a bound on empirical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-29 Xu Ji , Razvan Pascanu , Devon Hjelm , Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Andrea Vedaldi

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

It is not, in general, possible to have access to all variables that determine the behavior of a system. Having identified a number of variables whose values can be accessed, there may still be hidden variables which influence the dynamics…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-04-30 Rui Ligeiro , R. Vilela Mendes

Neural network ensembles, such as Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), have shown success in the areas of uncertainty estimation and robustness. However, a crucial challenge prohibits their use in practice. BNNs require a large number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Namuk Park , Songkuk Kim

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) implement a specific form of multi-variate extrapolation and will generate an output for any input pattern, even when there is no similar training pattern. Extrapolations are not necessarily to be trusted,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-27 Neil A. Thacker , Carole J. Twining , Paul D. Tar , Scott Notley , Visvanathan Ramesh

Object grasping is a crucial technology enabling robots to perceive and interact with the environment sufficiently. However, in practical applications, researchers are faced with missing or noisy ground truth while training the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Yangfan Deng , Mengyao Zhang , Yong Zhao

Interpretability and uncertainty quantification in machine learning can provide justification for decisions, promote scientific discovery and lead to a better understanding of model behavior. Symbolic regression provides inherently…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 G. F. Bomarito , P. E. Leser , N. C. M Strauss , K. M. Garbrecht , J. D. Hochhalter