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We study the Gaussian sequence compound decision problem and analyze a Bayesian nonparametric estimator from an empirical Bayes, regret-based perspective. Motivated by sharp results for the classical nonparametric maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Sid Kankanala

In this paper, we construct an estimator of an errors-in-variables linear regression model. The regression model leads to a constrained total least squares problems with row and column constraints. Although this problem can be numerically…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-11 Kensuke Aishima

The availability of data from multiple heterogeneous environments has motivated methods that remain reliable under distributional shifts. When the joint distribution of response and predictors varies across environments, the response may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Ruqian Zhang , Juan Shen , Yijiao Zhang

Equivariant models leverage prior knowledge on symmetries to improve predictive performance, but misspecified architectural constraints can harm it instead. While work has explored learning or relaxing constraints, selecting among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-16 Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans , Dharmesh Tailor , Erik J. Bekkers

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Modern statistical applications often involve minimizing an objective function that may be nonsmooth and/or nonconvex. This paper focuses on a broad Bregman-surrogate algorithm framework including the local linear approximation, mirror…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-20 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , Jiuwu Jin

Bayesian inference is a powerful paradigm for quantum state tomography, treating uncertainty in meaningful and informative ways. Yet the numerical challenges associated with sampling from complex probability distributions hampers Bayesian…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-05-04 Joseph M. Lukens , Kody J. H. Law , Ajay Jasra , Pavel Lougovski

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

Variational inequalities are a universal optimization paradigm that incorporate classical minimization and saddle point problems. Nowadays more and more tasks require to consider stochastic formulations of optimization problems. In this…

We develop a version of variational inference for Bayesian count response regression-type models that possesses attractive attributes such as convexity and closed form updates. The convex solution aspect entails numerically stable fitting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Virginia Murru , Matt P. Wand

We consider the problem of performing Bayesian inference for logistic regression using appropriate extensions of the ensemble Kalman filter. Two interacting particle systems are proposed that sample from an approximate posterior and prove…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Diksha Bhandari , Jakiw Pidstrigach , Sebastian Reich

Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

Weak identification arises in many statistical problems when key variables exhibit weak correlations-for example, when instrumental variables correlate weakly with treatment, or when proxy variables correlate weakly with unmeasured…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-12 Rui Wang , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Ting Ye

This work is about understanding the impact of invariance and equivariance on generalisation in supervised learning. We use the perspective afforded by an averaging operator to show that for any predictor that is not equivariant, there is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Hayder Elesedy

Calibration of computer models is a key step in making inferences, predictions, and decisions for complex science and engineering systems. We formulate and analyze a nonparametric Bayesian methodology for computer model calibration. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Haiyi Shi , Lei Yang , Jiarui Chi , Troy Butler , Haonan Wang , Derek Bingham , Don Estep

Newton's method is the most widespread high-order method, demanding the gradient and the Hessian of the objective function. However, one of the main disadvantages of Newtons method is its lack of global convergence and high iteration cost.…

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-28 Manikanta Srikar Yellapragada , Chandra Prakash Konkimalla

This paper presents a practical and simple fully nonparametric multivariate smoothing procedure that adapts to the underlying smoothness of the true regression function. Our estimator is easily computed by successive application of existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-06-08 P. A. Cornillon , N. Hengartner , E. Matzner-Løber

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang