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In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

Computer models are used as replacements for physical experiments in a large variety of applications. Nevertheless, direct use of the computer model for the ultimate scientific objective is often limited by the complexity and cost of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-03 Sonja Surjanovic , William J. Welch

Physical phenomena are observed in many fields (sciences and engineering) and are often studied by time-consuming computer codes. These codes are analyzed with statistical models, often called emulators. In many situations, the physical…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-07 Hassan Maatouk , Xavier Bay

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

A variety of researchers have successfully obtained the parameters of low dimensional diffusion models using the data that comes out of atomistic simulations. This naturally raises a variety of questions about efficient estimation,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-11-06 Christopher P. Calderon

The package \textsf{clayton} is designed to be intuitive, user-friendly, and efficient. It offers a wide range of copula models, including Archimedean, Elliptical, and Extreme. The package is implemented in pure \textsf{Python}, making it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Alexis Boulin

Elicitation of probabilities is one of the most laborious tasks in building decision-theoretic models, and one that has so far received only moderate attention in decision-theoretic systems. We propose a set of user interface tools for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-21 Haiqin Wang , Marek J. Druzdzel

Recent advances in neuroscientific experimental techniques have enabled us to simultaneously record the activity of thousands of neurons across multiple brain regions. This has led to a growing need for computational tools capable of…

Clustering mixtures of Gaussian distributions is a fundamental and challenging problem that is ubiquitous in various high-dimensional data processing tasks. While state-of-the-art work on learning Gaussian mixture models has focused…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-05 Dan Kushnir , Shirin Jalali , Iraj Saniee

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Statistical inference more often than not involves models which are non-linear in the parameters thus leading to non-Gaussian posteriors. Many computational and analytical tools exist that can deal with non-Gaussian distributions, and…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2021-01-20 Eileen Giesel , Robert Reischke , Björn Malte Schäfer , Dominic Chia

Statistical models for describing the probability distribution over the states of biological systems are commonly used for dimensional reduction. Among these models, pairwise models are very attractive in part because they can be fit using…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-11-30 Yasser Roudi , Erik Aurell , John Hertz

Multivariate time series (MTS) data often include a heterogeneous mix of non-Gaussian distributional features (asymmetry, multimodality, heavy tails) and data types (continuous and discrete variables). Traditional MTS methods based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 John Zito , Daniel R. Kowal

We present a technique for constructing suitable posterior probability distributions in situations for which the sampling distribution of the data is not known. This is very useful for modern scientific data analysis in the era of "big…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2017-08-30 Steven Gratton

We present MXtalTools, a flexible Python package for the data-driven modelling of molecular crystals, facilitating machine learning studies of the molecular solid state. MXtalTools comprises several classes of utilities: (1) synthesis,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Michael Kilgour , Mark E. Tuckerman , Jutta Rogal

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The prediction interval is gaining prominence in meta-analysis as it enables the assessment of uncertainties in treatment effects and heterogeneity between studies. However, coverage probabilities of the current standard method for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-18 Kengo Nagashima , Hisashi Noma , Toshi A. Furukawa

Computer experiments with both quantitative and qualitative (QQ) inputs are commonly used in science and engineering applications. Constructing desirable emulators for such computer experiments remains a challenging problem. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Qian Xiao , Abhyuday Mandal , C. Devon Lin , Xinwei Deng

We develop a general class of Bayesian repulsive Gaussian mixture models that encourage well-separated clusters, aiming at reducing potentially redundant components produced by independent priors for locations (such as the Dirichlet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

In a Bayesian learning setting, the posterior distribution of a predictive model arises from a trade-off between its prior distribution and the conditional likelihood of observed data. Such distribution functions usually rely on additional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-11-01 Andrea Schirru , Simone Pampuri , Giuseppe De Nicolao , Sean McLoone