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Learning the causal structure that underlies data is a crucial step towards robust real-world decision making. The majority of existing work in causal inference focuses on determining a single directed acyclic graph (DAG) or a Markov…

Causal discovery algorithms aim at untangling complex causal relationships from data. Here, we study causal discovery and inference methods based on staged tree models, which can represent complex and asymmetric causal relationships between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-02 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

A reliable knowledge structure is a prerequisite for building effective adaptive learning systems and intelligent tutoring systems. Pursuing an explainable and trustworthy knowledge structure, we propose a method for constructing causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-27 Yuang Wei , Yizhou Zhou , Yuan-Hao Jiang , Bo Jiang

We provide explicit, finite-sample guarantees for learning causal representations from data with a sublinear number of environments. Causal representation learning seeks to provide a rigourous foundation for the general representation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Inbeom Lee , Tongtong Jin , Bryon Aragam

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

Given black-box access to the input and output systems, we develop the first efficient quantum causal order discovery algorithm with polynomial query complexity with respect to the number of systems. We model the causal order with quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-29 Ge Bai , Ya-Dong Wu , Yan Zhu , Masahito Hayashi , Giulio Chiribella

In many complex networks the vertices are ordered in time, and edges represent causal connections. We propose methods of analysing such directed acyclic graphs taking into account the constraints of causality and highlighting the causal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-07-07 James R. Clough , Jamie Gollings , Tamar V. Loach , Tim S. Evans

We propose a constraint-based algorithm, which automatically determines causal relevance thresholds, to infer causal networks from data. We call these topological thresholds. We present two methods for determining the threshold: the first…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-24 Filipe Barroso , Diogo Gomes , Gareth J. Baxter

Inferring the causal relationships among a set of variables in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is an important but notoriously challenging problem. Recently, advancements in high-throughput genomic perturbation screens have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Seong Woo Han , Daniel Duy Vo , Brielin C. Brown

Causal structure learning, also known as causal discovery, aims to estimate causal relationships between variables as a form of a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) from observational data. One of the major frameworks is the order-based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-18 Kentaro Kanamori , Hirofumi Suzuki , Takuya Takagi

The causal dependence in data is often characterized by Directed Acyclic Graphical (DAG) models, widely used in many areas. Causal discovery aims to recover the DAG structure using observational data. This paper focuses on causal discovery…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Boxin Zhao , Weishi Wang , Dingyuan Zhu , Ziqi Liu , Dong Wang , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou , Mladen Kolar

We study causal effect estimation under interference from network data. We work under the chain-graph formulation pioneered in Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al (2021). Our first result shows that polynomial time evaluation of treatment effects is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-10 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen

Causal learning from data has received much attention recently. Bayesian networks can be used to capture causal relationships. There, one recovers a weighted directed acyclic graph in which random variables are represented by vertices, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Georgios Korpas , Jakub Marecek

This paper describes a Bayesian method for learning causal networks using samples that were selected in a non-random manner from a population of interest. Examples of data obtained by non-random sampling include convenience samples and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Gregory F. Cooper

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Mohammad Fesanghary , Achintya Gopal

Graphical models are widely used to study biological networks. Interventions on network nodes are an important feature of many experimental designs for the study of biological networks. In this paper we put forward a causal variant of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Simon E. F. Spencer , Steven M. Hill , Sach Mukherjee

Dynamic Bayesian networks have been well explored in the literature as discrete-time models: however, their continuous-time extensions have seen comparatively little attention. In this paper, we propose the first constraint-based algorithm…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-04 Alessandro Bregoli , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Bayesian networks are a powerful framework for studying the dependency structure of variables in a complex system. The problem of learning Bayesian networks is tightly associated with the given data type. Ordinal data, such as stages of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-15 Xiang Ge Luo , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Discovering a unique causal structure is difficult due to both inherent identifiability issues, and the consequences of finite data. As such, uncertainty over causal structures, such as those obtained from a Bayesian posterior, are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-06 Anish Dhir , Matthew Ashman , James Requeima , Mark van der Wilk

Knowing the causal structure of a system is of fundamental interest in many areas of science and can aid the design of prediction algorithms that work well under manipulations to the system. The causal structure becomes identifiable from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Martin Emil Jakobsen , Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann , Jonas Peters