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We consider Bayesian optimization of the output of a network of functions, where each function takes as input the output of its parent nodes, and where the network takes significant time to evaluate. Such problems arise, for example, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

Variational Bayesian posterior inference often requires simplifying approximations such as mean-field parametrisation to ensure tractability. However, prior work has associated the variational mean-field approximation for Bayesian neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 Richard Kurle , Ralf Herbrich , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Jan Gasthaus

This PhD thesis presents a distributional view of optimization in place of a worst-case perspective. We motivate this view with an investigation of the failure point of classical optimization. Subsequently we consider the optimization of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-23 Felix Benning

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for bi-variate data observed in time but with observation times which occur non-synchronously. In particular, this occurs in a wide variety of applications in finance, such as high-frequency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Amin Wu

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems with functional unknowns, has received significant attention in recent years. An important component of the developing theory is the study of the asymptotic performance of the posterior distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-18 Sergios Agapiou , Peter Mathé

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

We present a computational framework for efficient learning, sampling, and distribution of general Bayesian posterior distributions. The framework leverages a machine learning approach for the construction of normalizing flows for the…

核理论 · 物理学 2023-10-10 Yukari Yamauchi , Landon Buskirk , Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey

Modern generative models can produce realistic samples, however, balancing memorisation and generalisation remains an open problem. We approach this challenge from a Bayesian perspective by focusing on the parameter space of flow matching…

The use of the Bayesian tools in system identification and model updating paradigms has been increased in the last ten years. Usually, the Bayesian techniques can be implemented to incorporate the uncertainties associated with measurements…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-10-27 M. Sherri , I. Boulkaibet , T. Marwala , M. I. Friswell

Flow matching has become a leading framework for generative modeling, but quantifying the uncertainty of its samples remains an open problem. Existing approaches retrain the model with auxiliary variance heads, maintain costly ensembles, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Jiarui Xing , Song Wang , Jian Wang

Sampling a target probability distribution with an unknown normalization constant is a fundamental challenge in computational science and engineering. Recent work shows that algorithms derived by considering gradient flows in the space of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M Stuart

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We provide some counterexamples concerning the uniqueness and regularity of weak solutions to the initial-boundary value problem for gradient flows of certain strongly polyconvex functionals by showing that such a problem can possess a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-05-17 Baisheng Yan

There has recently been considerable interest in addressing the problem of unifying distributed statistical analyses into a single coherent inference. This problem naturally arises in a number of situations, including in big-data settings,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Hongsheng Dai , Murray Pollock , Gareth Roberts

We consider the inverse problem of estimating an unknown function $u$ from noisy measurements $y$ of a known, possibly nonlinear, map $\mathcal{G}$ applied to $u$. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem and work in a setting where the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-20 Masoumeh Dashti , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-05 Behrooz Ghorbani , Hamid Javadi , Andrea Montanari

We introduce a level set based approach to Bayesian geometric inverse problems. In these problems the interface between different domains is the key unknown, and is realized as the level set of a function. This function itself becomes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-02 Marco A. Iglesias , Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart

Modeled along the truncated approach in Panigrahi (2016), selection-adjusted inference in a Bayesian regime is based on a selective posterior. Such a posterior is determined together by a generative model imposed on data and the selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-12 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso