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Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska

With the wide adoption of machine learning techniques, requirements have evolved beyond sheer high performance, often requiring models to be trustworthy. A common approach to increase the trustworthiness of such systems is to allow them to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-16 Andrea Pugnana , Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is a popular nonparametric regression model. In GPR, features of the regression function such as varying degrees of smoothness and periodicities are modeled through combining various covarinace…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-07 Jaehoan Kim , Jaeyong Lee

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are nonparametric probabilistic models…

The Extended Generalized Pareto Distribution (EGPD) (Naveau et al. 2016) is a family of distribution that has been introduced to model the full range of a positive random variable but with the lower and the upper tails distributed according…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Noémie Le Carrer , Carlo Gaetan

Data availability has dramatically increased in recent years, driving model-based control methods to exploit learning techniques for improving the system description, and thus control performance. Two key factors that hinder the practical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-22 Elena Arcari , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

A novel extrapolation method is proposed for longitudinal forecasting. A hierarchical Gaussian process model is used to combine nonlinear population change and individual memory of the past to make prediction. The prediction error is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-25 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

In this paper we propose a novel Bayesian solution for nonlinear regression in complex fields. Previous solutions for kernels methods usually assume a complexification approach, where the real-valued kernel is replaced by a complex-valued…

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible modeling technique used to predict outputs and to capture uncertainty in the predictions. However, the GP regression process becomes computationally intensive when the training spatial dataset…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Juliette Mukangango , Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

We present a robust framework to perform linear regression with missing entries in the features. By considering an elliptical data distribution, and specifically a multivariate normal model, we are able to conditionally formulate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-10 Alireza Aghasi , MohammadJavad Feizollahi , Saeed Ghadimi

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

This paper proposes an efficient general alternating-direction implicit (GADI) framework for solving large sparse linear systems. The convergence property of the GADI framework is discussed. Most of the existing ADI methods can be viewed as…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-05-04 Kai Jiang , Xuehong Su , Juan Zhang

Regression analysis has always been a hot research topic in statistics. We propose a very flexible semi-parametric regression model called Elliptical Copula Regression (ECR) model, which covers a large class of linear and nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-12 Yong He , Liang Zhang , Jiadong JI , Xinsheng Zhang

Rank regression offers robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed response distributions, invariance to monotonic transformations, and improved efficiency under non-Gaussian errors, making it a versatile tool for analyzing complex data. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Jiyuan Tu , Suqi Wu , Yichen Zhang , Wen-Xin Zhou

Gaussian stochastic process (GaSP) has been widely used in two fundamental problems in uncertainty quantification, namely the emulation and calibration of mathematical models. Some objective priors, such as the reference prior, are studied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-11 Mengyang Gu

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and widely used probabilistic regression models, but their effectiveness in practice is often limited by the choice of kernel function. This kernel function is typically handcrafted from a small set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Sebastian Ament , Louis C. Tiao , David Eriksson , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…