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We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

We consider robustness to distribution shifts in the context of diagnostic models in healthcare, where the prediction target $Y$, e.g., the presence of a disease, is causally upstream of the observations $X$, e.g., a biomarker. Distribution…

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

Many modern products exhibit high reliability under normal operating conditions. Conducting life tests under these conditions may result in very few observed failures, insufficient for accurate inferences. Instead, accelerated life tests…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-25 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

We present methods for estimating loss-based measures of the performance of a prediction model in a target population that differs from the source population in which the model was developed, in settings where outcome and covariate data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Samantha Morrison , Constantine Gatsonis , Issa J. Dahabreh , Bing Li , Jon A. Steingrimsson

This paper proposes a general class of regression models for continuous proportions when the data contain zeros or ones. The proposed class of models assumes that the response variable has a mixed continuous-discrete distribution with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-11-04 Raydonal Ospina , Silvia L. P. Ferrari

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

We propose a doubly robust approach to characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies. We develop a frequentist inferential procedure that utilizes posterior distributions for both the propensity score and outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Heejun Shin , Joseph Antonelli

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

The robustness of classifiers has become a question of paramount importance in the past few years. Indeed, it has been shown that state-of-the-art deep learning architectures can easily be fooled with imperceptible changes to their inputs.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-06-12 Théo Giraudon , Vincent Gripon , Matthias Löwe , Franck Vermet

We discuss recent work for causal inference and predictive robustness in a unifying way. The key idea relies on a notion of probabilistic invariance or stability: it opens up new insights for formulating causality as a certain risk…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Peter Bühlmann

A literature search shows that robust regression techniques are rarely used in applied econometrics. We list several misconceptions about robustness which lead to this situation. We show that most data sets are not normal, least squares…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-04 Asad Zaman , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Mehmet Orhan

This paper introduces the $f$-sensitivity model, a new sensitivity model that characterizes the violation of unconfoundedness in causal inference. It assumes the selection bias due to unmeasured confounding is bounded "on average"; compared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren , Zhengyuan Zhou

We present a new Bayesian approach to model-robust linear regression that leads to uncertainty estimates with the same robustness properties as the Huber--White sandwich estimator. The sandwich estimator is known to provide asymptotically…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-01-10 Adam A. Szpiro , Kenneth M. Rice , Thomas Lumley

Circular variables that represent directions or periodic observations arise in many fields, such as biology and environmental sciences. An important issue when dealing with circular data is how to estimate their dispersion robustly,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Houyem Demni , Mia Hubert , Giovanni C. Porzio , Peter J. Rousseeuw

The rapid development of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications requires the training of large numbers of models. This growing demand highlights the importance of training models without human supervision, while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Alexey Boldyrev , Fedor Ratnikov , Andrey Shevelev

It is common when using cross-section or panel data to assign each observation to a cluster and allow for arbitrary patterns of heteroskedasticity and correlation within clusters. For regression models, there are many ways to make…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-03 James G. MacKinnon

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott