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The breaching of planetary boundaries and the potentially catastrophic consequences of climate change are leading researchers to question the endless pursuit of economic growth. Several macroeconomic modelling studies have now examined…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-17 Dylan C. Terry-Doyle , Adam B. Barrett

The Keen model is a mathematical model that describes the dynamic evolution of wages, employment, and debt based on the known Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis. It consists of three first order nonlinear ordinary differential…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-12-18 Son Van , Teng Zhang

Using the formalism of Lyapunov potential function it is shown that the stability principles for biomass in the ecosystem and for employment in economics are mathematically similar. The ecosystem is found to have a stable and an unstable…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-11-30 Victor G. Gorshkov , Anastassia M. Makarieva , Bai-Lian Li

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

With negative growth in real production in many countries and debt levels which become an increasing burden on developed societies, the calls for a change in economic policy and even the monetary system become louder and increasingly…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-06-08 Andreas Hula

Although classical economic theory is based on the concept of stable equilibrium, real economic systems appear to be always out of equilibrium. Indeed, they share many of the dynamical features of other complex systems, e.g., ecological…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-11-16 Sitabhra Sinha

We explore the nonlinear dynamics of a macroeconomic model with resource constraints. The dynamics is derived from a production function that considers capital and a generalized form of energy as inputs. Energy, the new variable, is…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-30 Frank Schweitzer , Giona Casiraghi

Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-11-03 Ron W Nielsen

We analyze a three-dimensional Keen--Goodwin model that couples wage--employment dynamics with Minsky-style private debt. At zero real interest the interior equilibrium is nonhyperbolic and organized by a two-dimensional center manifold…

It is widely assumed that increases in economic productivity necessarily lead to economic growth. In this paper, it is shown that this is not always the case. An idealized model of an economy is presented in which a new technology allows…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-26 Casey O. Barkan

Will a large economy be stable? Building on Robert May's original argument for large ecosystems, we conjecture that evolutionary and behavioural forces conspire to drive the economy towards marginal stability. We study networks of firms in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-09-25 José Moran , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Business cycles (a periodic change of e.g. GDP over five to ten years) exist, but a proper explanation for it is still lacking. Here we extend the well-known NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) model, resulting in a set…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-25 Galiya Klinkova , Michael Grabinski

The stability of money value is an important requisite for a functioning economy, yet it critically depends on the actions of participants in the market themselves. Here we model the value of money as a dynamical variable that results from…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Stefan Bornholdt , Friedrich Wagner

All economies require physical resource consumption to grow and maintain their structure. The modern economy is additionally characterized by private debt. The Human and Resources with MONEY (HARMONEY) economic growth model links these…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-07 Carey W. King

A standard growth model is modified in a straightforward way to incorporate what Keynes (1936) suggests in the "essence" of his general theory. The theoretical essence is the idea that exogenous changes in investment cause changes in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-06-13 Mina Mahmoudi , Mark Pingle

We study a dynamical model of interconnected firms which allows for certain market imperfections and frictions, restricted here to be myopic price forecasts and slow adjustment of production. Whereas the standard rational equilibrium is…

经济学 · 定量金融 2015-06-22 Julius Bonart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Augustin Landier , David Thesmar

The stability analysis of socioeconomic systems has been centered on answering whether small perturbations when a system is in a given quantitative state will push the system permanently to a different quantitative state. However, typically…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-09-01 Serguei Saavedra , Rudolf P. Rohr , Luis J. Gilarranz , Jordi Bascompte

We study analytically and numerically Minsky instability as a combination of top-down, bottom-up and peer-to-peer positive feedback loops. The peer-to-peer interactions are represented by the links of a network formed by the connections…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-02-04 Sorin Solomon , Natasa Golo

Stability of the utility maximization problem with random endowment and indifference prices is studied for a sequence of financial markets in an incomplete Brownian setting. Our novelty lies in the nonequivalence of markets, in which the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-25 Kim Weston

This paper investigates Minsky's cycles by extending the paper of stockhammer et al. (2019) with a nonlinear model to capture possible local real-financial endogenous cycles. We trace nonlinear regime changes and check the presence of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-07 Domenico delli Gatti , Filippo Gusella , Giorgio Ricchiuti
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