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Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

We introduce and characterise the performance of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference method Prune Sampling for discrete and deterministic Bayesian networks (BNs). We developed a procedure to obtain the performance of a MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-20 Frank Phillipson , Jurriaan Parie , Ron Weikamp

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

In this article we develop a multi-grid multi-level Monte Carlo (MGMLMC) method for the stochastic Stokes-Darcy interface model with random hydraulic conductivity both in the porous media domain and on the interface. Because the randomness…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-07 Zhipeng Yang , Xiaoming He , Li Zhang , Ju Ming

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead

We present a new family of models that is based on graphs that may have undirected, directed and bidirected edges. We name these new models marginal AMP (MAMP) chain graphs because each of them is Markov equivalent to some AMP chain graph…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-10 Jose M. Peña

Single-chain Markov chain Monte Carlo simulates realizations from a Markov chain to estimate expectations with the empirical average. The single-chain simulation is generally of considerable length and restricts many advantages of modern…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-01 Austin Brown

This work focuses on the problem of multi-label learning with missing labels (MLML), which aims to label each test instance with multiple class labels given training instances that have an incomplete/partial set of these labels. The key…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-04-03 Baoyuan Wu , Fan Jia , Wei Liu , Bernard Ghanem , Siwei Lyu

The recently proposed L-lag coupling for unbiased Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) calls for a joint celebration by MCMC practitioners and theoreticians. For practitioners, it circumvents the thorny issue of deciding the burn-in period or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Radu V. Craiu , Xiao-Li Meng

Performing exact Bayesian inference for complex models is computationally intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms can provide reliable approximations of the posterior distribution but are expensive for large datasets and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Maxime Vono , Daniel Paulin , Arnaud Doucet

Random sampling of graph partitions under constraints has become a popular tool for evaluating legislative redistricting plans. Analysts detect partisan gerrymandering by comparing a proposed redistricting plan with an ensemble of sampled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-09 Cory McCartan , Kosuke Imai

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a widely-used technique for generating a dependent sequence of samples from complex distributions. Conventionally, these methods require a source of independent random variates. Most implementations use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-04-17 Iain Murray , Lloyd T. Elliott

Bayesian inference of Gibbs random fields (GRFs) is often referred to as a doubly intractable problem, since the likelihood function is intractable. The exploration of the posterior distribution of such models is typically carried out with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-16 Aidan Boland , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We consider conditional tests for non-negative discrete exponential families. We develop two Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms which allow us to sample from the conditional space and to perform approximated tests. The first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-27 Roberto Fontana , Francesca Romana Crucinio

We study the problem of generating connected random graphs with no self-loops or multiple edges and that, in addition, have a given degree sequence. The generation method we focus on is the edge-switching Markov-chain method, whose…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2011-07-01 Alexandre O. Stauffer , Valmir C. Barbosa

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are an important class of time-series models, used to describe stochastic systems evolving in continuous time. Simulating paths from these processes, particularly after conditioning on noisy…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Xinyi Pei , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

We prove bounds on the variance of a function $f$ under the empirical measure of the samples obtained by the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm, with time complexity depending on local rather than global Markov chain mixing dynamics.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Holden Lee , Matheau Santana-Gijzen
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