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Researchers are often challenged with assessing the impact of an intervention on an outcome of interest in situations where the intervention is non-randomised, the intervention is only applied to one or few units, the intervention is…

This paper introduces a novel approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects of binary treatment in panel data, particularly focusing on short panel data with large cross-sectional data and observed confoundings. In contrast to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Meijia Wang , Ignacio Martinez , P. Richard Hahn

This paper studies the identification, estimation, and inference of long-term (binary) treatment effect parameters when balanced panel data is not available, or consists of only a subset of the available data. We develop a new estimator:…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-04 Christophe Bellégo , David Benatia , Vincent Dortet-Bernardet

In causal inference, a fundamental task is to estimate the effect resulting from a specific treatment, which is often handled with inverse probability weighting. Despite an abundance of attention to the advancement of this task, most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-30 Kuan-Hsun Wu

This paper considers the quantile regression model with both individual fixed effect and time period effect for general spatial panel data. Instrumental variable quantile regression estimators will be proposed. Asymptotic properties of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-08 Xiaowen Dai , Zhen Yan , Maozai Tian , Manlai Tang

Heterogeneous treatment effect models allow us to compare treatments at subgroup and individual levels, and are of increasing popularity in applications like personalized medicine, advertising, and education. In this talk, we first survey…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-28 Zijun Gao , Trevor Hastie

We develop new semiparametric methods for estimating treatment effects. We focus on settings where the outcome distributions may be thick tailed, where treatment effects may be small, where sample sizes are large and where assignment is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Susan Athey , Peter J. Bickel , Aiyou Chen , Guido W. Imbens , Michael Pollmann

Binary treatments are often ex-post aggregates of multiple treatments or can be disaggregated into multiple treatment versions. Thus, effects can be heterogeneous due to either effect or treatment heterogeneity. We propose a decomposition…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-08 Phillip Heiler , Michael C. Knaus

Treatment effect estimation is essential for informed decision-making in many fields such as healthcare, economics, and public policy. While flexible machine learning models have been widely applied for estimating heterogeneous treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Pascal Memmesheimer , Vincent Heuveline , Jürgen Hesser

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

Boundary discontinuity designs are used to learn about causal treatment effects along a continuous assignment boundary that splits units into control and treatment groups according to a bivariate location score. We analyze location-based…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-15 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

This paper investigates the use of regularization priors in the context of treatment effect estimation using observational data where the number of control variables is large relative to the number of observations. First, the phenomenon of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-30 P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho , Jingyu He , David Puelz

The Multi-Kink Quantile Regression (MKQR) model is an important tool for analyzing data with heterogeneous conditional distributions, especially when quantiles of response variable are of interest, due to its robustness to outliers and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Wei Zhong , Chuang Wan , Wenyang Zhang

Causal inference methods are widely applied in the fields of medicine, policy, and economics. Central to these applications is the estimation of treatment effects to make decisions. Current methods make binary yes-or-no decisions based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Will Y. Zou , Smitha Shyam , Michael Mui , Mingshi Wang , Jan Pedersen , Zoubin Ghahramani

This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Judith J. Lok

There is currently a dearth of appropriate methods to estimate the causal effects of multiple treatments when the outcome is binary. For such settings, we propose the use of nonparametric Bayesian modeling, Bayesian Additive Regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-02 Chenyang Gu , Michael J. Lopez , Liangyuan Hu

Multivalued treatment models have typically been studied under restrictive assumptions: ordered choice, and more recently unordered monotonicity. We show how treatment effects can be identified in a more general class of models that allows…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-05-02 Sokbae Lee , Bernard Salanié

We study regression discontinuity designs with the use of additional covariates for estimation of the average treatment effect. We provide a detailed proof of asymptotic normality of the covariate-adjusted estimator under minimal…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-16 Patrick Kramer , Alexander Kreiß

Typically, a randomized experiment is designed to test a hypothesis about the average treatment effect and sometimes hypotheses about treatment effect variation. The results of such a study may then be used to inform policy and practice for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Elizabeth Tipton , Michalis Mamakos