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Inspired by the complexity of certain real-world datasets, this article introduces a novel flexible linear spline index regression model. The model posits piecewise linear effects of an index on the response, with continuous changes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Lianqiang Qu , Long Lv , Meiling Hao , Liuquan Sun

Modern deterministic retrieval pipelines prioritize achieving state-of-the-art performance but often lack interpretability in decision-making. These models face challenges in assessing uncertainty, leading to overconfident predictions. To…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 EuiYul Song , Philhoon Oh , Sangryul Kim , James Thorne

How to solve inverse problems is the challenge of many engineering and industrial applications. Recently, physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful approach to solve inverse problems efficiently. However, it is…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-09-22 Xinchao Jiang , Xin Wanga , Ziming Wena , Enying Li , Hu Wang

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-05 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

Using Machine Learning systems in the real world can often be problematic, with inexplicable black-box models, the assumed certainty of imperfect measurements, or providing a single classification instead of a probability distribution. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Jonathan S. Kent , David H. Menager

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

Among the most critical limitations of deep learning NLP models are their lack of interpretability, and their reliance on spurious correlations. Prior work proposed various approaches to interpreting the black-box models to unveil the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-10-08 Xiaochuang Han , Yulia Tsvetkov

E-commerce businesses employ recommender models to assist in identifying a personalized set of products for each visitor. To accurately assess the recommendations' influence on customer clicks and buys, three target areas -- customer…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Namrata Chaudhary , Drimik Roy Chowdhury

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields including meteorology, hydrology, economics, and demography. In typical applications, many alternative statistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-07-31 Alexander Jordan , Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch

Many recommender systems suffer from popularity bias: popular items are recommended frequently while less popular, niche products, are recommended rarely or not at all. However, recommending the ignored products in the `long tail' is…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-08-13 Himan Abdollahpouri , Robin Burke , Bamshad Mobasher

Uncertainty quantification is a key part of astronomy and physics; scientific researchers attempt to model both statistical and systematic uncertainties in their data as best as possible, often using a Bayesian framework. Decisions might…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-07-29 Peter Hatfield

Surface reconstruction is a vital tool in a wide range of areas of medical image analysis and clinical research. Despite the fact that many methods have proposed solutions to the reconstruction problem, most, due to their deterministic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Katarína Tóthová , Sarah Parisot , Matthew C. H. Lee , Esther Puyol-Antón , Lisa M. Koch , Andrew P. King , Ender Konukoglu , Marc Pollefeys

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

Probabilistic Regression Trees (PRTrees) generalize traditional decision trees by incorporating probability functions that associate each data point with different regions of the tree, providing smooth decisions and continuous responses.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Taiane Schaedler Prass , Alisson Silva Neimaier , Guilherme Pumi

This paper introduces a new approach to quantify the impact of forward propagated demand and weather uncertainty on power system planning and operation models. Recent studies indicate that such sampling uncertainty, originating from demand…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

Determining process-structure-property linkages is one of the key objectives in material science, and uncertainty quantification plays a critical role in understanding both process-structure and structure-property linkages. In this work, we…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-01-27 Anh Tran , Tim Wildey

This paper presents a case study on the eClinical data of Intelligent Medical Objects, which currently employs eight pipeline stages. Historically, the pipeline stage progresses inversely with the number of customers. Our objective is to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Paramahansa Pramanik , Joel Graff , Mike Decaro

Self-supervised visual representation learning has recently attracted significant research interest. While a common way to evaluate self-supervised representations is through transfer to various downstream tasks, we instead investigate the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-08 Iro Laina , Yuki M. Asano , Andrea Vedaldi