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This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

We review distributionally robust optimization (DRO), a principled approach for constructing statistical estimators that hedge against the impact of deviations in the expected loss between the training and deployment environments. Many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jose Blanchet , Jiajin Li , Sirui Lin , Xuhui Zhang

This article explores combinations of weighted bootstraps, like the Bayesian bootstrap, with the bootstrap $t$ method for setting approximate confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable in small samples. For this problem the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-21 Art B. Owen

Bootstrap is a widely used technique that allows estimating the properties of a given estimator, such as its bias and standard error. In this paper, we evaluate and compare five bootstrap-based methods for making confidence intervals: two…

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

When we use simulation to evaluate the performance of a stochastic system, the simulation often contains input distributions estimated from real-world data; therefore, there is both simulation and input uncertainty in the performance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Barry L. Nelson , Russell R. Barton

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for learning the relationship between a response variable and a multivariate predictor while exploring heterogeneous effects. In this paper, we consider statistical inference for quantile regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-19 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Control architectures and autonomy stacks for complex engineering systems are often divided into layers to decompose a complex problem and solution into distinct, manageable sub-problems. To simplify designs, uncertainties are often ignored…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-30 Tyler Summers , Maryam Kamgarpour

Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator or the Lasso, introduced by Tibshirani (1996), is a popular estimation procedure in multiple linear regression when underlying design has a sparse structure, because of its property that it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-31 Debraj Das , S. N. Lahiri

Seemingly unrelated regression models generalize linear regression models by considering multiple regression equations that are linked by contemporaneously correlated disturbances. Robust inference for seemingly unrelated regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Kris Peremans , Stefan Van Aelst

Most of the modern literature on robust mean estimation focuses on designing estimators which obtain optimal sub-Gaussian concentration bounds under minimal moment assumptions and sometimes also assuming contamination. This work looks at…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-30 Lucas Resende

In recent years, bootstrap methods have drawn attention for their ability to approximate the laws of "max statistics" in high-dimensional problems. A leading example of such a statistic is the coordinate-wise maximum of a sample average of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Miles E. Lopes , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Mueller

We discuss recently developed methods that quantify the stability and generalizability of statistical findings under distributional changes. In many practical problems, the data is not drawn i.i.d. from the target population. For example,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

In distributed, or privacy-preserving learning, we are often given a set of probabilistic models estimated from different local repositories, and asked to combine them into a single model that gives efficient statistical estimation. A…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-01 Jun Han , Qiang Liu

The limiting distribution for M-estimates in a non-stationary autoregressive model with heavy-tailed error is computationally intractable. To make inferences based on the M-estimates, the bootstrap procedure can be used to approximate the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-09 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

Model averaging techniques based on resampling methods (such as bootstrapping or subsampling) have been utilized across many areas of statistics, often with the explicit goal of promoting stability in the resulting output. We provide a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-28 Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

This paper considers extensions of minimum-disparity estimators to the problem of estimating parameters in a regression model that is conditionally specified; that is where a parametric model describes the distribution of a response $y$…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-10 Giles Hooker