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Often machine learning models tend to automatically learn associations present in the training data without questioning their validity or appropriateness. This undesirable property is the root cause of the manifestation of spurious…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-17 Preetam Prabhu Srikar Dammu , Chirag Shah

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

Entropy is a measure of heterogeneity widely used in applied sciences, often when data are collected over space. Recently, a number of approaches has been proposed to include spatial information in entropy. The aim of entropy is to…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-12 Linda Altieri , Daniela Cocchi , Giulia Roli

External controls from historical trials or observational data can augment randomized controlled trials when large-scale randomization is impractical or unethical, such as in drug evaluation for rare diseases. However, non-randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

Recently, there has been significant interest in linear regression in the situation where predictors and responses are not observed in matching pairs corresponding to the same statistical unit as a consequence of separate data collection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-04 Martin Slawski , Guoqing Diao , Emanuel Ben-David

Intuitively, unfamiliarity should lead to lack of confidence. In reality, current algorithms often make highly confident yet wrong predictions when faced with relevant but unfamiliar examples. A classifier we trained to recognize gender is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Zhizhong Li , Derek Hoiem

Adjustment of statistical significance levels for repeated analysis in group sequential trials has been understood for some time. Similarly, methods for adjustment accounting for testing multiple hypotheses are common. There is limited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-28 Yujie Zhao , Qi Liu , Linda Z. Sun , Keaven M. Anderson

The performance of a number of different measures of nonlinearity in a time series is compared numerically. Their power to distinguish noisy chaotic data from linear stochastic surrogates is determined by Monte Carlo simulation for a number…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

Learning invariant representations is an important requirement when training machine learning models that are driven by spurious correlations in the datasets. These spurious correlations, between input samples and the target labels, wrongly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Kihyuk Sohn , Jinsung Yoon , Madeleine Udell , Chen-Yu Lee , Tomas Pfister

Among the most critical limitations of deep learning NLP models are their lack of interpretability, and their reliance on spurious correlations. Prior work proposed various approaches to interpreting the black-box models to unveil the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-10-08 Xiaochuang Han , Yulia Tsvetkov

Propensity score methods are an important tool to help reduce confounding in non-experimental studies. Most propensity score methods assume that covariates are measured without error. However, covariates are often measured with error, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-08 Hwanhee Hong , David A. Aaby , Juned Siddique , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Propensity score matching is a tool for causal inference in non-randomized studies that allows for conditioning on large sets of covariates. The use of propensity scores in the social sciences is currently experiencing a tremendous…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-02-01 Felix Thoemmes

The problem of testing changes in covariance has received increasing attention in recent years, especially in the context of high-dimensional testing. A number of approaches have been proposed, all limited to the two-sample problem and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-06 Yi-Hui Zhou

This note revisits Steel's multiple comparison test which uses Wilcoxon statistics in pairwise comparisons of several treatment samples with a common control sample. It derives means, variances and covariances of the Wilcoxon statistics…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-14 F. W. Scholz

Calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used to assess the quality of univariate distributional forecasts. However, PIT-based calibration tests for multivariate distributional forecasts face various…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-13 Malte Knüppel , Fabian Krüger , Marc-Oliver Pohle

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

This paper examines the use of Monte Carlo simulations to understand statistical concepts in A/B testing and Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs). We discuss the applicability of simulations in understanding false positive rates and estimate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Márton Trencséni

We study why overparameterization -- increasing model size well beyond the point of zero training error -- can hurt test error on minority groups despite improving average test error when there are spurious correlations in the data. Through…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-28 Shiori Sagawa , Aditi Raghunathan , Pang Wei Koh , Percy Liang

Inferring linear relationships lies at the heart of many empirical investigations. A measure of linear dependence should correctly evaluate the strength of the relationship as well as qualify whether it is meaningful for the population.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Kaustubh R. Patil , Simon B. Eickhoff , Robert Langner