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The risk of oil spills in the Alaskan Arctic has become an urgent environmental and logistical concern as maritime traffic increases under climate driven sea ice retreat. Traditional deterministic response planning models fail to represent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-01 Md Ashiqur Rahman , Mustofa Tanbir Kuhel , Clara Novoa

The integration of more intermittent generation, energy storage, and dynamic loads on top of a competitive market environment requires future grids to handle increasing diversity of power injection states. Grid planners need new tools and…

应用物理 · 物理学 2019-04-18 A. E. Tio , D. J. Hill , J. Ma

The Earthquake Network research project implements a crowdsourced earthquake early warning system based on smartphones. Smartphones, which are made available by the global population, exploit the Internet connection to report a signal to a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-06-29 F. Finazzi , A. Fassò

After a large earthquake, the likelihood of successive strong aftershocks needs to be estimated. Exploiting similarities with critical phenomena, we introduce a scaling law for the decay in time following a main shock of the expected number…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski , Attilio Stella

We study statistics dependence of the probability distributions and the means of measured moments of conserved quantities, respectively. The required statistics of all interested moments and their products are estimated based on a simple…

核理论 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Lizhu Chen , Zhiming Li , Xia Zhong , Yuncun He , Yuanfang Wu

We study the distributions of earthquake numbers in two global catalogs: Global Centroid-Moment Tensor and Preliminary Determinations of Epicenters. These distributions are required to develop the number test for forecasts of future seismic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-11 Yan Y. Kagan

4D seismic imaging has been widely used in CO$_2$ sequestration projects to monitor the fluid flow in the volumetric subsurface region that is not sampled by wells. Ideally, real-time monitoring and near-future forecasting would provide…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-12-07 Shihang Feng , Xitong Zhang , Brendt Wohlberg , Neill Symons , Youzuo Lin

Forecasting the full distribution of the number of earthquakes is revealed to be inherently superior to forecasting their mean. Forecasting the full distribution of earthquake numbers is also shown to yield robust projections in the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-03-19 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

Less than 10 meters deep, shallow landslides are rapidly moving and strongly dangerous slides. In the present work, the probabilistic distribution of the landslide detachment points within a valley is modelled as a spatial Poisson point…

Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alvaro Gonzalez , Miguel Vazquez-Prada , Javier B. Gomez , Amalio F. Pacheco

The ability of random environmental variation to stabilize competitor coexistence was pointed out long ago and, in recent years, has received considerable attention. Analyses have focused on variations in the log-abundances of species, with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-14 Antony Dean , Nadav M. Shnerb

The interpretation of seismic images faces challenges due to the presence of several uncertainty sources. Uncertainties exist in data measurements, source positioning, and subsurface geophysical properties. Understanding uncertainties' role…

Principled decision making in emergency response management necessitates the use of statistical models that predict the spatial-temporal likelihood of incident occurrence. These statistical models are then used for proactive stationing…

This study presents two models to optimize pressure management in water distribution networks. The first model forecasts pressure at distribution points and compares predictions with actual data to detect anomalies such as leaks and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-15 Tran Dang Khoa

Time-history deformation analyses of upstream-raised tailings dams use seismic records as input data. Such records must be representative of the in-situ seismicity in terms of a wide range of intensity measures (IMs) including peak ground…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-03-18 N. A. Labanda , M. G. Sottile , I. A. Cueto , A. O. Sfriso

The carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) framework is an essential component in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, with its success hinging on the comprehensive knowledge of subsurface geology and geomechanics. Passive seismic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-11-06 Hanchen Wang , Yinpeng Chen , Tariq Alkhalifah , Ting Chen , Youzuo Lin , David Alumbaugh

The long-term erosion of steep landscapes is punctuated by dramatic erosional events that can remove significant amount of sediments within a time-scale shorter than a seismic cycle. However, the role of such large erosional events on…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-12-02 L. Jeandet Ribes , N. Cubas , H. S. Bhat , P. Steer

Spatial interference (SI) occurs when the treatment at one location affects the outcomes at other locations. Accounting for spatial interference in spatiotemporal settings poses further challenges as interference violates the stable unit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Sahara Ali , Omar Faruque , Jianwu Wang

The predictive accuracy of wall-modeled large eddy simulation is studied by systematic simulation campaigns of turbulent channel flow. The effect of wall model, grid resolution and anisotropy, numerical convective scheme and subgrid-scale…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2019-04-01 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Timofey Mukha , Mattias Liefvendahl

Injection-induced aseismic slip plays an important role in a broad range of human-made and natural systems, from the exploitation of geo-resources to the understanding of earthquakes. Recent studies have shed light on how aseismic slip…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Alexis Sáez , Brice Lecampion