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相关论文: Towards the Design of Prospect-Theory based Human …

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In this paper, we study the detection boundary for minimax hypothesis testing in the context of high-dimensional, sparse binary regression models. Motivated by genetic sequencing association studies for rare variant effects, we investigate…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-06 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Natesh S. Pillai , Xihong Lin

Bayesian models of behavior have provided computational level explanations in a range of psychophysical tasks. One fundamental experimental paradigm is the production or reproduction task, in which subjects are instructed to generate an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Nils Neupärtl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

Understanding how humans respond to uncertainty is critical for designing safe and effective physical human-robot interaction (pHRI), as physically working with robots introduces multiple sources of uncertainty, including trust, comfort,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Yixiang Lin , Tiancheng Yang , Jonathan Eden , Ying Tan

Behavioural economics provides labels for patterns in human economic behaviour. Probability weighting is one such label. It expresses a mismatch between probabilities used in a formal model of a decision (i.e. model parameters) and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-04 Ole Peters , Alexander Adamou , Mark Kirstein , Yonatan Berman

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

All biological and artificial agents must learn and make decisions given limits on their ability to process information. As such, a general theory of adaptive behavior should be able to account for the complex interactions between an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-08 Dilip Arumugam , Mark K. Ho , Noah D. Goodman , Benjamin Van Roy

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

Given a multiple testing situation, the null hypotheses that appear to have sufficiently low probabilities of truth may be rejected using a simple, nonparametric method of decision theory. This applies not only to posterior levels of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-20 David R. Bickel

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

This paper considers for the first time pursuit-evasion (PE) differential games with irrational perceptions of both pursuer and evader on probabilistic characteristics of environmental uncertainty. Firstly, the irrational perceptions of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-13 Zili Wang , Hao Yang , Xiangxiang Wang , Bin Jiang , Long Wang , Marios M. Polycarpou

We study hypothesis testing over a heterogeneous population of strategic agents with private information. Any single test applied uniformly across the population yields statistical error that is sub-optimal relative to the performance of an…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Flora C. Shi , Martin J. Wainwright , Stephen Bates

In hypothesis testing, the phenomenon of label noise, in which hypothesis labels are switched at random, contaminates the likelihood functions. In this paper, we develop a new method to determine the decision rule when we do not have…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-10-28 Dennis Wei , Kush R. Varshney

Agents that interact with other agents often do not know a priori what the other agents' strategies are, but have to maximise their own online return while interacting with and learning about others. The optimal adaptive behaviour under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-19 Luisa Zintgraf , Sam Devlin , Kamil Ciosek , Shimon Whiteson , Katja Hofmann

As a step towards studying human-agent collectives we conduct an online game with human participants cooperating on a network. The game is presented in the context of achieving group formation through local coordination. The players set…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-07-11 Kunal Bhattacharya , Tuomas Takko , Daniel Monsivais , Kimmo Kaski

A large body of work in behavioral fields attempts to develop models that describe the way people, as opposed to rational agents, make decisions. A recent Choice Prediction Competition (2015) challenged researchers to suggest a model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-12-01 Gali Noti , Effi Levi , Yoav Kolumbus , Amit Daniely

Many organizations depend on human decision-makers to make subjective decisions, especially in settings where information is scarce. Although workers are often viewed as interchangeable, the specific individual assigned to a task can…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-11 Eric G. Stratman , Justin J. Boutilier , Laura A. Albert

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

There has long been debate about the relative merits of decision theoretic methods and heuristic rule-based approaches for reasoning under uncertainty. We report an experimental comparison of the performance of the two approaches to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-10 Jayant Kalagnanam , Max Henrion

Recent research revealed a considerable lack of reliability for user feedback when interacting with adaptive systems, often denoted as user noise or human uncertainty. Moreover, this lack of reliability holds striking impacts for the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-05-01 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

This paper investigates the dynamics of gambling and how they can affect risk-taking behavior in regions not explored by Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory. Specifically, it questions why extreme outcomes do not fit the theory and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-13 José Cláudio do Nascimento
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