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The expansion of residential demand response programs and increased deployment of controllable loads will require accurate appliance-level load modeling and forecasting. This paper proposes a conditional hidden semi-Markov model to describe…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-10 Yuting Ji , Elizabeth Buechler , Ram Rajagopal

Floods rank among the costliest natural hazards, causing over USD 100 billion in insured losses between 2013 and 2023. In France, persistent deficits in the natural catastrophe scheme highlight the need for accurate, building-scale flood…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Mulah Moriah , Franck Vermet , Pierre Ailliot , Philippe Naveau , Juliette Legrand

Climate change and rapid urbanization have intensified the frequency and severity of flooding, resulting in substantial damage to communities and infrastructure. Existing research on flood risk addresses a wide range of dimensions, ranging…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-15 Nazgol Tabasi , Mohammad Fereshtehpour , Bardia Roghani

In a power system, unlike some critical and standalone assets that are equipped with condition monitoring devices, the conditions of most regular in-group assets are acquired through periodic inspection work. Due to their large quantities,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-04-23 Ming Dong , Alexandre B. Nassif , Wenyuan Li

Real time monitoring using in situ sensors is becoming a common approach for measuring water quality within watersheds. High frequency measurements produce big data sets that present opportunities to conduct new analyses for improved…

Resilience is a key driver for planning adaptation strategies to mitigate risks due to both natural and anthropogenic hazards. The effectiveness of a resilience-driven decision-making strategy for adapting systems against stressors depends…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-19 Lamis Amer , Murat Erkoc , Esber Andiroglu , Nurcin Celik

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Florida is particularly vulnerable to hurricanes, which frequently cause substantial economic losses. While prior studies have explored specific contributors to hurricane-induced damage, few have developed a unified framework capable of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Bolin Shen , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

Reducing water losses is one of the most pressing issues for modern water utilities. To that end, improving the efficiency of the pipe leakage and repair process and aiding the selection of the pipes that are to be renewed or rehabilitated…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Marie Collet , Nicolas Rodriguez , Selma Baati , Alain Husson , Eddy Renaud , Kevin Caillaud , Yves Le Gat

Hydraulic blockage of cross-drainage structures such as culverts is considered one of main contributor in triggering urban flash floods. However, due to lack of during floods data and highly non-linear nature of debris interaction,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-03-22 Umair Iqbal , Johan Barthelemy , Pascal Perez , Wanqing Li

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Chronic diseases are long-term, manageable, yet typically incurable conditions, highlighting the need for effective preventive strategies. Machine learning has been widely used to assess individual risk for chronic diseases. However, many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Minh Le , Khoi Ton

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy

Whereas maintenance has been recognized as an important and effective means for risk management in power systems, it turns out to be intractable if cascading blackout risk is considered due to the extremely high computational complexity. In…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-28 Jinpeng Guo , Feng Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Yunhe Hou , Shengwei Mei

Landslides are a common natural disaster that can cause casualties, property safety threats and economic losses. Therefore, it is important to understand or predict the probability of landslide occurrence at potentially risky sites. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Cheng Chen , Lei Fan

Nowadays, the consequences of failure and downtime of distributed systems have become more and more severe. As an obvious solution, these systems incorporate protection mechanisms to tolerate faults that could cause systems failures and…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2015-02-19 Andrey A. Shchurov , Radek Marik

Millions of vulnerable consumer IoT devices in home networks are the enabler for cyber crimes putting user privacy and Internet security at risk. Internet service providers (ISPs) are best poised to play key roles in mitigating risks by…

The risk of conflict is exasperated by a multitude of internal and external factors. Current multivariate analysis paints diverse causal risk profiles that vary with time. However, these profiles evolve and a universal model to understand…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-09-30 Gerardo Aquino , Weisi Guo , Alan Wilson

This chapter addresses the increasing vulnerability of coastal regions to typhoons and the consequent power outages, emphasizing the critical role of power transmission systems in disaster resilience. It introduces a framework for assessing…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-13 Yang Li

Chimney fires constitute one of the most commonly occurring fire types. Precise prediction and prompt prevention are crucial in reducing the harm they cause. In this paper, we develop a combined machine learning and statistical modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-15 C. Lu , M. N. M. van Lieshout , M. de Graaf , P. Visscher