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相关论文: Variations of Power-Expected-Posterior Priors in N…

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The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior provides an objective, automatic, consistent and parsimonious model selection procedure. At the same time it resolves the conceptual and computational problems due to the use of imaginary data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

In the context of the expected-posterior prior (EPP) approach to Bayesian variable selection in linear models, we combine ideas from power-prior and unit-information-prior methodologies to simultaneously produce a minimally-informative…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-27 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , David Draper

The Zellner's g-prior and its recent hierarchical extensions are the most popular default prior choices in the Bayesian variable selection context. These prior set-ups can be expressed power-priors with fixed set of imaginary data. In this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-07-10 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras

One of the main approaches used to construct prior distributions for objective Bayes methods is the concept of random imaginary observations. Under this setup, the expected-posterior prior (EPP) offers several advantages, among which it has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-09 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Power-expected-posterior (PEP) methodology, which borrows ideas from the literature on power priors, expected-posterior priors and unit information priors, provides a systematic way to construct objective priors. The basic idea is to use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Anupreet Porwal , Abel Rodriguez

Expected-posterior priors (EPP) have been proved to be extremely useful for testing hypothesis on the regression coefficients of normal linear models. One of the advantages of using EPPs is that impropriety of baseline priors causes no…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Although Bayesian inference is an immensely popular paradigm among a large segment of scientists including statisticians, most applications consider objective priors and need critical investigations (Efron, 2013, Science). While it has…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-11 Abhik Ghosh , Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu

Most of the consistency analyses of Bayesian procedures for variable selection in regression refer to pairwise consistency, that is, consistency of Bayes factors. However, variable selection in regression is carried out in a given class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-30 Elías Moreno , Javier Girón , George Casella

Inducing-point-based sparse variational Gaussian processes have become the standard workhorse for scaling up GP models. Recent advances show that these methods can be improved by introducing a diagonal scaling matrix to the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Thang D. Bui , Michalis K. Titsias

Exact inference in the linear regression model with spike and slab priors is often intractable. Expectation propagation (EP) can be used for approximate inference. However, the regular sequential form of EP (R-EP) may fail to converge in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-12-13 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Bayesian binary regression is a prosperous area of research due to the computational challenges encountered by currently available methods either for high-dimensional settings or large datasets, or both. In the present work, we focus on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Binary regression models represent a popular model-based approach for binary classification. In the Bayesian framework, computational challenges in the form of the posterior distribution motivate still-ongoing fruitful research. Here, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Invariant prediction [Peters et al., 2016] analyzes feature/outcome data from multiple environments to identify invariant features - those with a stable predictive relationship to the outcome. Such features support generalization to new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-10 Luhuan Wu , Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , John P. Cunningham , David M. Blei

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

We introduce the concept of conjugate prior models for a given likelihood function in Bayesian spatial inversion. The conjugate class of prior models can be selection extended and still remain conjugate. We demonstrate the generality of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-06 Henning Omre , Kjartan Rimstad

Expectation Propagation (Minka, 2001) is a widely successful algorithm for variational inference. EP is an iterative algorithm used to approximate complicated distributions, typically to find a Gaussian approximation of posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-01 Guillaume Dehaene , Simon Barthelmé

We advocate for a new statistical principle that combines the most desirable aspects of both parameter inference and density estimation. This leads us to the predictively oriented (PrO) posterior, which expresses uncertainty as a…

In application areas where data generation is expensive, Gaussian processes are a preferred supervised learning model due to their high data-efficiency. Particularly in model-based control, Gaussian processes allow the derivation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Gaussian process training decomposes into inference of the (approximate) posterior and learning of the hyperparameters. For non-Gaussian (non-conjugate) likelihoods, two common choices for approximate inference are Expectation Propagation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-14 Rui Li , ST John , Arno Solin

Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning applications typically involve selecting actions, which -- in a Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Michael J. Morais , Jonathan W. Pillow
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