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We propose optimal dimensionality reduction techniques for the solution of goal-oriented linear-Gaussian inverse problems, where the quantity of interest (QoI) is a function of the inversion parameters. These approximations are suitable for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Alessio Spantini , Tiangang Cui , Karen Willcox , Luis Tenorio , Youssef Marzouk

In the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, data are often informative, relative to the prior, only on a low-dimensional subspace of the parameter space. Significant computational savings can be achieved by using this subspace to…

Data assimilation refers to a set of algorithms designed to compute the optimal estimate of a system's state by refining the prior prediction (known as background states) using observed data. Variational assimilation methods rely on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Yi Xiao , Qilong Jia , Wei Xue , Lei Bai

The Strong Constraint 4D Variational (SC-4DVAR) data assimilation method is widely used in climate and weather applications. SC-4DVAR involves solving a minimization problem to compute the maximum a posteriori estimate, which we tackle…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-16 Amit N. Subrahmanya , Vishwas Rao , Arvind K. Saibaba

We introduce and compare new compression approaches to obtain regularized solutions of large linear systems which are commonly encountered in large scale inverse problems. We first describe how to approximate matrix vector operations with a…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-08-12 Sergey Voronin , Dylan Mikesell , Guust Nolet

Incremental 4D-Var is a data assimilation algorithm used routinely at operational numerical weather predictions centers worldwide.This paper implements a new method for parallelizing incremental 4D-Var, the Randomized Incremental Optimal…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-09-23 Nicolas Bousserez , Jonathan J. Guerrette , Daven K. Henze

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Variational data assimilation is a technique for combining measured data with dynamical models. It is a key component of Earth system state estimation and is commonly used in weather and ocean forecasting. The approach involves a…

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Data assimilation is a core component of numerical weather prediction systems. The large quantity of data processed during assimilation requires the computation to be distributed across increasingly many compute nodes, yet existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Oscar Key , So Takao , Daniel Giles , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for nonlinear inverse problems within the Bayesian framework. Optimizing the data acquisition process for large-scale nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems is a computationally challenging task…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-14 Karina Koval , Ruanui Nicholson

We propose and analyze a Stein variational reduced basis method (SVRB) to solve large-scale PDE-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. To address the computational challenge of drawing numerous samples requiring expensive PDE solves from…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-26 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Data assimilation combines prior (or background) information with observations to estimate the initial state of a dynamical system over a given time-window. A common application is in numerical weather prediction where a previous forecast…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-27 Coralia Cartis , Maha H. Kaouri , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

Data assimilation of atmospheric observations traditionally relies on variational and Kalman filter methods. Here, an alternative neural-network data assimilation (NNDA) with variational autoencoder (VAE) is proposed. The three-dimensional…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-04-29 Boštjan Melinc , Žiga Zaplotnik

Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

Optimal dimensionality reduction methods are proposed for the Bayesian inference of a Gaussian linear model with additive noise in presence of overabundant data. Three different optimal projections of the observations are proposed based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-13 Loïc Giraldi , Olivier P. Le Maître , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar M. Knio

Modern methods for Bayesian regression beyond the Gaussian response setting are often computationally impractical or inaccurate in high dimensions. In fact, as discussed in recent literature, bypassing such a trade-off is still an open…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-14 Augusto Fasano , Daniele Durante , Giacomo Zanella

Optimization-based samplers such as randomize-then-optimize (RTO) [2] provide an efficient and parallellizable approach to solving large-scale Bayesian inverse problems. These methods solve randomly perturbed optimization problems to draw…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Johnathan Bardsley , Tiangang Cui , Youssef Marzouk , Zheng Wang

Two major bottlenecks to the solution of large-scale Bayesian inverse problems are the scaling of posterior sampling algorithms to high-dimensional parameter spaces and the computational cost of forward model evaluations. Yet incomplete or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox
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