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The Multifractal Stress-Activated (MSA) model is a statistical model of triggered seismicity based on mechanical and thermodynamic principles. It predicts that, above a triggering magnitude cut-off $M_0$, the exponent $p$ of the Omori law…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-06-13 G. Ouillon , E. Ribeiro , D. Sornette

An earthquake, Tohoku region Pacific Coast earthquake, occurred on the 11th of March, 2011, and subsequent Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents have been stirring natural radiation around the author's office in Fukushima Medical…

医学物理 · 物理学 2011-11-11 Tsuneo Kobayashi

The decay rate of aftershocks has been modeled as a power law since the pioneering work of Omori in the late nineteenth century. Considered the second most fundamental empirical law after the Gutenberg-Richter relationship, the power law…

地球物理 · 物理学 2016-01-07 Arnaud Mignan

The fundamentals of the phenomenological theory of aftershocks are presented. The theory contains an original concept of the proper time of the earthquake source, the course of which, generally speaking, differs from the course of world…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-10-03 A. V. Guglielmi

Fault ruptures of regular earthquakes typically grow in a self-similar manner, where the radiated energy is proportional to the seismic moment. Their proportionality factor, termed as scaled energy, has been conventionally described as the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Dye SK Sato

Despite dissimilar slip rates, slow earthquakes are faulting as ordinary earthquakes are. It is therefore physically natural that slow earthquakes also cause postseismic motions similarly to ordinary earthquakes, even though coseismic and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-12-04 Dye SK Sato , Takane Hori , Takeshi Iinuma , Masayuki Kano , Yusuke Tanaka

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

On October 14th, 2016, the station of Tofino (British Columbia, Canada) issued the first ever real-time tsunami alert triggered by a coastal High-Frequency Radar system, based on the identification of abnormal surface current patterns. The…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Baptiste Domps , Julien Marmain , Charles-Antoine Guérin

Meta-instability is an irreversible precursor of earthquakes. To identify the meta-instability precursor of the Yangbi $M_S$ 6.4 earthquake ($99.87^{\circ}\mathrm{E}$, $25.67^{\circ}\mathrm{N}$)that occurred on May 21, 2021, we selected…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-02-19 Shouyong Li

We analyze retrospectively/prospectively the transient variations of three different physical parameters of atmosphere during the time of M7.8 and M7.3 events in Nepal: outgoing earth radiation (OLR), GPS/TEC and the thermodynamic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-08-19 Dimitar Ouzounov , Sergey Pulinets , Dmitry Davidenko

The data analysis of aftershock events of L Aquila earthquake in Apennines following the main 6.3 Mw event of April 6, 2009 has been carried out by standard statistical geophysical tools. The results show the heterogeneity of seismic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-05-12 D. Innocenti , M. Iovenitti , N. Poccia , A. Ricci , M. Caputo , A. Bianconi

By applying natural time analysis to the time series of earthquakes, we find that the order parameter of seismicity exhibits a unique change approximately at the date(s) at which Seismic Electric Signals (SES) activities have been reported…

We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a temporal time-averaged (Poisson) forecast. A variety of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-23 James R Holliday , William R Graves , John B Rundle , Donald L Turcotte

The decay pattern of aftershocks in the so-called 'coherent-noise' models [M. E. J. Newman and K. Sneppen, Phys. Rev. E54, 6226 (1996)] is studied in detail. Analytical and numerical results show that the probability to find a large event…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-30 C. Wilke , S. Altmeyer , T. Martinetz

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-03-12 Jeremy Wing Ching Wong , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Wenyuan Fan

One hundred years ago, Fusakichi Omori died. Our paper is dedicated to his memory. Omori made an outstanding contribution to the physics of earthquakes. In 1894 he formulated the law of aftershock evolution. Omori's Law states that after…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-02-03 A. Guglielmi , B. Klain , A. Zavyalov , O. Zotov

The paper is devoted to comparing two approaches to the study of aftershocks. The methodological foundations of the traditional approach were laid many years ago. A new approach has emerged relatively recently. The two approaches differ…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-09-26 A. V. Guglielmi

Strong earthquakes can have a dual impact on the slow-moving landslide budget of a landscape by either triggering new actively deforming hillslopes or stabilizing existing ones. However, their regional-scale influence on hillslope processes…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-08-13 Ashok Dahal , Hakan Tanyaş , Alexander L. Handwerger , Luigi Lombardo , Eric Fielding

The power law of aftershock evolution was proposed by Hirano in 1924 and introduced by Utsu into seismology in the second half of the last century. The Hirano-Utsu law is widely used in studying the relaxation of earthquake source after the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-08-01 A. V. Guglielmi

The advanced machine learning algorithm NESTORE (Next STrOng Related Earthquake) was developed to forecast strong aftershocks in earthquake sequences and has been successfully tested in Italy, western Slovenia, Greece, and California.…