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In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Local volatility is an important quantity in option pricing, portfolio hedging, and risk management. It is not directly observable from the market; hence calibrations of local volatility models are necessary using observable market data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-18 Kai Yin , Anirban Mondal

In this study, we propose a function-on-function linear quantile regression model that allows for more than one functional predictor to establish a more flexible and robust approach. The proposed model is first transformed into a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

This paper studies quantile regression with an endogenous regressor and measurement error in the dependent variable. Standard quantile regression estimators ignoring these two elements can induce substantial bias. We adopt a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-21 Xuanjing Su

Quantile regression relates the quantile of the response to a linear predictor. For a discrete response distributions, like the Poission, Binomial and the negative Binomial, this approach is not feasible as the quantile function is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Tullia Padellini , Haavard Rue

We study the problem of estimating the distribution of the return of a policy using an offline dataset that is not generated from the policy, i.e., distributional offline policy evaluation (OPE). We propose an algorithm called Fitted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Runzhe Wu , Masatoshi Uehara , Wen Sun

In the paper, we present a strategy for accelerating posterior inference for unknown inputs in time fractional diffusion models. In many inference problems, the posterior may be concentrated in a small portion of the entire prior support.…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-07-03 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

Quantile treatment effects (QTEs) can characterize the potentially heterogeneous causal effect of a treatment on different points of the entire outcome distribution. Propensity score (PS) methods are commonly employed for estimating QTEs in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-15 Yahang Liu , Kecheng Wei , Chen Huang , Yongfu Yu , Guoyou Qin

We propose a framework for conditional vector quantile regression (CVQR) that combines neural optimal transport with amortized optimization, and apply it to multivariate conformal prediction. Classical quantile regression does not extend…

Quantile regression is a statistical method for estimating conditional quantiles of a response variable. In addition, for mean estimation, it is well known that quantile regression is more robust to outliers than $l_2$-based methods. By…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-18 Steven Siwei Ye , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This article introduces a novel dynamic framework to Bayesian model averaging for time-varying parameter quantile regressions. By employing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo, we combine empirical estimates derived from dynamically chosen…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-08 Mauro Bernardi , Roberto Casarin , Bertrand Maillet , Lea Petrella

We introduce a new algorithm for multi-objective reinforcement learning (MORL) with linear preferences, with the goal of enabling few-shot adaptation to new tasks. In MORL, the aim is to learn policies over multiple competing objectives…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-07 Runzhe Yang , Xingyuan Sun , Karthik Narasimhan

Beyond estimating parameters of interest from data, one of the key goals of statistical inference is to properly quantify uncertainty in these estimates. In Bayesian inference, this uncertainty is provided by the posterior distribution, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Daniela de Albuquerque , John Pearson

This paper extends the horseshoe prior of Carvalho et al. (2010) to Bayesian quantile regression (HS-BQR) and provides a fast sampling algorithm for computation in high dimensions. The performance of the proposed HS-BQR is evaluated on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-19 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

We propose a new method, the continuous Galerkin method with globally and locally supported basis functions (CG-GL), to address the parametric robustness issues of reduced-order models (ROMs) by incorporating solution-based adaptivity with…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-10 Han Gao , Matthew J. Zahr

Variational approaches to approximate Bayesian inference provide very efficient means of performing parameter estimation and model selection. Among these, so-called variational-Laplace or VL schemes rely on Gaussian approximations to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Jean Daunizeau

Local volatility is a versatile option pricing model due to its state dependent diffusion coefficient. Calibration is, however, non-trivial as it involves both proposing a hypothesis model of the latent function and a method for fitting it…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-08 Martin Tegner , Stephen Roberts

Over the last decades, the challenges in applied regression and in predictive modeling have been changing considerably: (1) More flexible model specifications are needed as big(ger) data become available, facilitated by more powerful…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein , Thorsten Simon , Achim Zeileis

Compromise estimation entails using a weighted average of outputs from several candidate models, and is a viable alternative to model selection when the choice of model is not obvious. As such, it is a tool used by both frequentists and…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-05 Valentin Zulj , Shaobo Jin , Måns Magnusson

The quantile residual lifetime (QRL) regression is an attractive tool for assessing covariate effects on the distribution of residual life expectancy, which is often of interest in clinical studies. When the study subjects are exposed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Tonghui Yu , Liming Xiang , Jong-Hyeon Jeong