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Many applications require that we learn the parameters of a model from data. EM is a method used to learn the parameters of probabilistic models for which the data for some of the variables in the models is either missing or hidden. There…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Luis E. Ortiz , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

Estimation of generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) with non-nested random effects structures requires approximation of high-dimensional integrals. Many existing methods are tailored to the low-dimensional integrals produced by nested…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-01 Andrew T. Karl , Yan Yang , Sharon L. Lohr

Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

Automatic program repair (APR) aims to reduce the manual efforts required to identify and fix errors in source code. Before the rise of LLM-based agents, a common strategy was to increase the number of generated patches, sometimes to the…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Fernando Vallecillos Ruiz , Max Hort , Leon Moonen

The error estimation capability of machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) based on probabilistic learning methods such as Gaussian process regression (GPR) is currently under-exploited, because of the tendancy of the predicted…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-06-20 Albert P. Bartók , James. R. Kermode

Unbinned maximum likelihood is a common procedure for parameter estimation. After parameters have been estimated, it is crucial to know whether the fit model adequately describes the experimental data. Univariate Goodness of Fit procedures…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-02-14 Giulio Palombo

The standard approach to fitting an autoregressive spike train model is to maximize the likelihood for one-step prediction. This maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) often leads to models that perform poorly when generating samples…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-26 Diego M. Arribas , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various applications, fundamentally reshaping the landscape of natural language processing (NLP) research. However, recent evaluation frameworks often rely on the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-10 Chenyang Lyu , Minghao Wu , Alham Fikri Aji

The missing data problem has been broadly studied in the last few decades and has various applications in different areas such as statistics or bioinformatics. Even though many methods have been developed to tackle this challenge, most of…

Suppose data are fitted to some parametric model but that the true model happens to be one with an additional parameter. When a parameter is to be estimated one can use likelihood estimation in the wider model or in the narrow model.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Nils Lid Hjort

Modern computational models in supervised machine learning are often highly parameterized universal approximators. As such, the value of the parameters is unimportant, and only the out of sample performance is considered. On the other hand…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-11-04 Matthew Dixon , Tyler Ward

This paper develops asymptotic theory for estimation of parameters in regression models for binomial response time series where serial dependence is present through a latent process. Use of generalized linear model (GLM) estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

Large Language Models (LLMs) are valued for their strong performance across various tasks, but they also produce inaccurate or misleading outputs. Uncertainty Estimation (UE) quantifies the model's confidence and helps users assess response…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Heydar Soudani , Evangelos Kanoulas , Faegheh Hasibi

Comparative Judgement is an assessment method where item ratings are estimated based on rankings of subsets of the items. These rankings are typically pairwise, with ratings taken to be the estimated parameters from fitting a Bradley-Terry…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn

The extreme value index is a fundamental parameter in univariate Extreme Value Theory (EVT). It captures the tail behavior of a distribution and is central in the extrapolation beyond observed data. Among other semi-parametric methods (such…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-02 Clément Dombry , Ana Ferreira

The normality assumption on data set is very restrictive approach for modelling. The generalized form of normal distribution, named as an exponential power (EP) distribution, and its scale mixture form have been considered extensively to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-20 Mehmet Niyazi Cankaya , Olcay Arslan

P values or risk ratios from multiple, independent studies, observational or randomized, can be computationally combined to provide an overall assessment of a research question in meta-analysis. There is a need to examine the reliability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-28 S. Stanley Young , Warren B. Kindzierski

When a large body of data from diverse experiments is analyzed using a theoretical model with many parameters, the standard error matrix method and the general tools for evaluating errors may become inadequate. We present an iterative…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-07-24 J. Pumplin , D. R. Stump , W. K. Tung

Important problems in causal inference, economics, and, more generally, robust machine learning can be expressed as conditional moment restrictions, but estimation becomes challenging as it requires solving a continuum of unconditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Heiner Kremer , Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Bernhard Schölkopf