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Given overlapping subsets of a set of taxa (e.g. species), and posterior distributions on phylogenetic tree topologies for each of these taxon sets, how can we infer a posterior distribution on phylogenetic tree topologies for the entire…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-23 Michael Karcher , Cheng Zhang , Frederick A Matsen

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Parent selection in evolutionary algorithms for multi-objective optimisation is usually performed by dominance mechanisms or indicator functions that prefer non-dominated points. We propose to refine the parent selection on evolutionary…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-09-05 Edgar Covantes Osuna , Wanru Gao , Frank Neumann , Dirk Sudholt

Background: Many mathematical models have now been employed across every area of systems biology. These models increasingly involve large numbers of unknown parameters, have complex structure which can result in substantial evaluation time…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2018-01-15 Ian Vernon , Junli Liu , Michael Goldstein , James Rowe , Jen Topping , Keith Lindsey

Semi-supervised learning is a model training method that uses both labeled and unlabeled data. This paper proposes a fully Bayes semi-supervised learning algorithm that can be applied to any multi-category classification problem. We assume…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Rui Zhu , Shuvrarghya Ghosh , Subhashis Ghosal

In this dissertation, we develop nonparametric Bayesian models for biomedical data analysis. In particular, we focus on inference for tumor heterogeneity and inference for missing data. First, we present a Bayesian feature allocation model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-23 Tianjian Zhou

The Bayesian method is noted to produce spuriously high posterior probabilities for phylogenetic trees in analysis of large datasets, but the precise reasons for this over-confidence are unknown. In general, the performance of Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-15 Ziheng Yang , Tianqi Zhu

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Dispersal is ubiquitous throughout the tree of life: factors selecting for dispersal include kin competition, inbreeding avoidance and spatiotemporal variation in resources or habitat suitability. These factors differ in whether they…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-11-28 Xiang-Yi Li , Hanna Kokko

The spectrum of mutations in a collection of cancer genomes can be described by a mixture of a few mutational signatures. The mutational signatures can be found using non-negative matrix factorization (NMF). To extract the mutational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Marta Pelizzola , Ragnhild Laursen , Asger Hobolth

We describe a new method for evaluating Bayes factors. The key idea is to introduce a hypermodel in which the competing models are components of a mixture distribution. Inference for the mixing probabilities then yields estimates of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-16 Philip D. O'Neill , Theodore Kypraios

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

A key problem in statistical modeling is model selection, how to choose a model at an appropriate level of complexity. This problem appears in many settings, most prominently in choosing the number ofclusters in mixture models or the number…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-08-05 Samuel J. Gershman , David M. Blei

Genetic data are often used to infer demographic history and changes or detect genes under selection. Inferential methods are commonly based on models making various strong assumptions: demography and population structures are supposed…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-28 Clotilde Lepers , Sylvain Billiard , Matthieu Porte , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Robust statistical data modelling under potential model mis-specification often requires leaving the parametric world for the nonparametric. In the latter, parameters are infinite dimensional objects such as functions, probability…

High-throughput scientific studies involving no clear a'priori hypothesis are common. For example, a large-scale genomic study of a disease may examine thousands of genes without hypothesizing that any specific gene is responsible for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-02 Babak Shahbaba

Bayesian neural network posterior distributions have a great number of modes that correspond to the same network function. The abundance of such modes can make it difficult for approximate inference methods to do their job. Recent work has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Tommy Rochussen

We present a method for identification of models with good predictive performances in the family of Bayesian log-linear mixed models with Dirichlet process random effects. Such a problem arises in many different applications; here we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Silvia Polettini

Random allocation models used in clinical trials aid researchers in determining which of a particular treatment provides the best results by reducing bias between groups. Often however, this determination leaves researchers battling ethical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Albert. H. Lee , Edward L Boone , Roy T. Sabo , Erin Donahue