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We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-22 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

The inference of deep hierarchical models is problematic due to strong dependencies between the hierarchies. We investigate a specific transformation of the model parameters based on the multivariate distributional transform. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-12 Jakob Knollmüller , Torsten A. Enßlin

Generative state estimators based on probabilistic filters and smoothers are one of the most popular classes of state estimators for robots and autonomous vehicles. However, generative models have limited capacity to handle rich sensory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-03 Tuomas Haarnoja , Anurag Ajay , Sergey Levine , Pieter Abbeel

In a variety of problems originating in supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning, the loss function is defined by an expectation over a collection of random variables, which might be part of a probabilistic model or the external…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-01-06 John Schulman , Nicolas Heess , Theophane Weber , Pieter Abbeel

We deal with the problem of gradient estimation for stochastic differentiable relaxations of algorithms, operators, simulators, and other non-differentiable functions. Stochastic smoothing conventionally perturbs the input of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-11 Felix Petersen , Christian Borgelt , Aashwin Mishra , Stefano Ermon

Density Ratio Estimation has attracted attention from the machine learning community due to its ability to compare the underlying distributions of two datasets. However, in some applications, we want to compare distributions of random…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-26 Song Liu , Yulong Zhang , Mingxuan Yi , Mladen Kolar

We propose an analytical solution for approximating the gradient of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) in variational inference problems where the statistical model is a Bayesian network consisting of observations drawn from a mixture of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-14 Roumen Nikolaev Popov

A nonparametric Bayes approach is proposed for the problem of estimating a sparse sequence based on Gaussian random variables. We adopt the popular two-group prior with one component being a point mass at zero, and the other component being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

We show how to transform a non-differentiable rasterizer into a differentiable one with minimal engineering efforts and no external dependencies (no Pytorch/Tensorflow). We rely on Stochastic Gradient Estimation, a technique that consists…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2024-04-18 Thomas Deliot , Eric Heitz , Laurent Belcour

Stochastic gradient algorithms are the main focus of large-scale optimization problems and led to important successes in the recent advancement of the deep learning algorithms. The convergence of SGD depends on the careful choice of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-03 Caglar Gulcehre , Jose Sotelo , Marcin Moczulski , Yoshua Bengio

Deep generative models provide a systematic way to learn nonlinear data distributions, through a set of latent variables and a nonlinear "generator" function that maps latent points into the input space. The nonlinearity of the generator…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Georgios Arvanitidis , Lars Kai Hansen , Søren Hauberg

Stochastic variational inference and its derivatives in the form of variational autoencoders enjoy the ability to perform Bayesian inference on large datasets in an efficient manner. However, performing inference with a VAE requires a…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Ahmad Ayaz Amin

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

This study seeks to advance the understanding and prediction of stock market return uncertainty through the application of advanced deep learning techniques. We introduce a novel deep learning model that utilizes a Gaussian mixture…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-03-11 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

We consider the problem of estimation in Hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric emission distributions. Efficient estimators for the transition matrix are exhibited, and a semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises result is…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-09 Daniel Moss , Judith Rousseau

Most of the recent successful applications of neural networks have been based on training with gradient descent updates. However, for some small networks, other mirror descent updates learn provably more efficiently when the target is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-24 Ehsan Amid , Manfred K. Warmuth

We introduce a family of multiscale stick-breaking mixture models for Bayesian nonparametric density estimation. The Bayesian nonparametric literature is dominated by single scale methods, exception made for P\`olya trees and allied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-17 Marco Stefanucci , Antonio Canale

Flexible variational distributions improve variational inference but are harder to optimize. In this work we present a control variate that is applicable for any reparameterizable distribution with known mean and covariance matrix, e.g.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

Training neural network models with discrete (categorical or structured) latent variables can be computationally challenging, due to the need for marginalization over large or combinatorial sets. To circumvent this issue, one typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Gonçalo M. Correia , Vlad Niculae , Wilker Aziz , André F. T. Martins

The generation of discontinuous distributions is a difficult task for most known frameworks such as generative autoencoders and generative adversarial networks. Generative non-invertible models are unable to accurately generate such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Mariia Drozdova , Vitaliy Kinakh , Guillaume Quétant , Tobias Golling , Slava Voloshynovskiy