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Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

It is well known that Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) may attain minimax suboptimal rates in terms of the mean squared error (Birg\'e and Massart, 1993). In this paper, we prove that, under relatively mild assumptions, the suboptimality…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Gil Kur , Eli Putterman , Alexander Rakhlin

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof strategies, then state broadly applicable guarantees under…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Lars van der Laan

We study the minimal error of the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) procedure in the task of regression, both in the random and the fixed design settings. Our sharp lower bounds shed light on the possibility (or impossibility) of adapting…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-25 Gil Kur , Alexander Rakhlin

In this paper, we improve the PAC-Bayesian error bound for linear regression derived in Germain et al. [10]. The improvements are twofold. First, the proposed error bound is tighter, and converges to the generalization loss with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-09 Vera Shalaeva , Alireza Fakhrizadeh Esfahani , Pascal Germain , Mihaly Petreczky

Statistical performance bounds for reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms can be critical for high-stakes applications like healthcare. This paper introduces a new framework for theoretically measuring the performance of such algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Christoph Dann , Tor Lattimore , Emma Brunskill

We present a new PAC-Bayesian generalization bound. Standard bounds contain a $\sqrt{L_n \cdot \KL/n}$ complexity term which dominates unless $L_n$, the empirical error of the learning algorithm's randomized predictions, vanishes. We manage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Zakaria Mhammedi , Peter D. Grunwald , Benjamin Guedj

The paper focuses on general properties of parametric minimum contrast estimators. The quality of estimation is measured in terms of the rate function related to the contrast, thus allowing to derive exponential risk bounds invariant with…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-01-07 Yuri Golubev , Vladimir Spokoiny

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

Precision and Recall are fundamental metrics in machine learning tasks where both accurate predictions and comprehensive coverage are essential, such as in multi-label learning, language generation, medical studies, and recommender systems.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Lee Cohen , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran , Han Shao

This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-13 Steve Hanneke

A supervised learning framework is proposed to approximate a model predictive controller (MPC) with reduced computational complexity and guarantees on stability and constraint satisfaction. The framework can be used for a wide class of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-06-13 Michael Hertneck , Johannes Köhler , Sebastian Trimpe , Frank Allgöwer

In 1984, Valiant [ 7 ] introduced the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning framework for boolean function classes. Blumer et al. [ 2] extended this model in 1989 by introducing the VC dimension as a tool to characterize the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Mohammed Nechba , Mouhajir Mohamed , Sedjari Yassine

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Minimax problems have achieved success in machine learning such as adversarial training, robust optimization, reinforcement learning. For theoretical analysis, current optimal excess risk bounds, which are composed by generalization error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

In this paper, we propose new problem-independent lower bounds on the sample complexity and regret in episodic MDPs, with a particular focus on the non-stationary case in which the transition kernel is allowed to change in each stage of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-09 Omar Darwiche Domingues , Pierre Ménard , Emilie Kaufmann , Michal Valko

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) algorithms are widely used in a variety of estimation and prediction tasks in signal-processing and machine learning applications. Despite their popularity, a theory that explains their statistical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

We extend the theory of PAC learning in a way which allows to model a rich variety of learning tasks where the data satisfy special properties that ease the learning process. For example, tasks where the distance of the data from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-22 Noga Alon , Steve Hanneke , Ron Holzman , Shay Moran

In real-world applications, the distribution of the data, and our goals, evolve over time. The prevailing theoretical framework for studying machine learning, namely probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, largely ignores time. As a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-31 Ashwin De Silva , Rahul Ramesh , Rubing Yang , Siyu Yu , Joshua T Vogelstein , Pratik Chaudhari