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We show that, for generative classifiers, conditional independence corresponds to linear constraints for the induced discrimination functions. Discrimination functions of undirected Markov network classifiers can thus be characterized by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Gherardo Varando , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Eva Riccomagno

We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Richard Glennie , Théo Michelot

Hidden variables are ubiquitous in practical data analysis, and therefore modeling marginal densities and doing inference with the resulting models is an important problem in statistics, machine learning, and causal inference. Recently, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Ilya Shpitser , Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

Acyclic directed mixed graphs, also known as semi-Markov models represent the conditional independence structure induced on an observed margin by a DAG model with latent variables. In this paper we present the first method for fitting these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

In Gaussian graphical models, conditional independence and partial correlations are natural inferential targets for understanding direct relationships in multivariate data. No comparable framework exists for spatial processes, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Michele Peruzzi

Identifying the Markov properties or conditional independencies of a collection of random variables is a fundamental task in statistics for modeling and inference. Existing approaches often learn the structure of a probabilistic graphical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Sarah Liaw , Rebecca Morrison , Youssef Marzouk , Ricardo Baptista

Global variational approximation methods in graphical models allow efficient approximate inference of complex posterior distributions by using a simpler model. The choice of the approximating model determines a tradeoff between the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman

In this contribution we deal with the problem of learning an undirected graph which encodes the conditional dependence relationship between variables of a complex system, given a set of observations of this system. This is a very central…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-26 Daniela De Canditiis , Armando Guardasole

In the process of building (structural learning) a probabilistic graphical model from a set of observed data, the directional, cyclic dependencies between the random variables of the model are often found. Existing graphical models such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Oleksii Sirotkin

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Markov combination is an operation that takes two statistical models and produces a third whose marginal distributions include those of the original models. Building upon and extending existing work in the Gaussian case, we develop Markov…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-24 Orlando Marigliano , Eva Riccomagno

The aim of this chapter is twofold. In the first part we will provide a brief overview of the mathematical and statistical foundations of graphical models, along with their fundamental properties, estimation and basic inference procedures.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-29 Marco Scutari , Korbinian Strimmer

Markov networks and Bayesian networks are effective graphic representations of the dependencies embedded in probabilistic models. It is well known that independencies captured by Markov networks (called graph-isomorphs) have a finite…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2008-04-16 Sanjiang Li

An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of…

This paper discusses causal independence models and a generalization of these models called causal interaction models. Causal interaction models are models that have independent mechanisms where a mechanism can have several causes. In…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 Christopher Meek , David Heckerman

The investigation of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) encoding the same Markov property, that is the same conditional independence relations of multivariate observational distributions, has a long tradition; many algorithms exist for model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-27 Alain Hauser , Peter Bühlmann

Given data sampled from a number of variables, one is often interested in the underlying causal relationships in the form of a directed acyclic graph. In the general case, without interventions on some of the variables it is only possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-05 Christopher Nowzohour , Peter Bühlmann

Model selection and learning the structure of graphical models from the data sample constitutes an important field of probabilistic graphical model research, as in most of the situations the structure is unknown and has to be learnt from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-14 Niharika Gauraha