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A Bayesian design is given by maximising an expected utility over a design space. The utility is chosen to represent the aim of the experiment and its expectation is taken with respect to all unknowns: responses, parameters and/or models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

Traditionally Bayesian decision-theoretic design of experiments proceeds by choosing a design to minimise expectation of a given loss function over the space of all designs. The loss function encapsulates the aim of the experiment, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-22 Peter I. Frazier , Jialei Wang

In experimental design, we are given $n$ vectors in $d$ dimensions, and our goal is to select $k\ll n$ of them to perform expensive measurements, e.g., to obtain labels/responses, for a linear regression task. Many statistical criteria have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-11 Michał Dereziński , Feynman Liang , Michael W. Mahoney

Bayesian experimental design is a technique that allows to efficiently select measurements to characterize a physical system by maximizing the expected information gain. Recent developments in deep neural networks and normalizing flows…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-06-27 Leopoldo Sarra , Florian Marquardt

The construction of decision-theoretic Bayesian designs for realistically-complex nonlinear models is computationally challenging, as it requires the optimization of analytically intractable expected utility functions over high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-01 Antony Overstall , David Woods

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

This study concerns the formulation and application of Bayesian optimal experimental design to symbolic discovery, which is the inference from observational data of predictive models taking general functional forms. We apply constrained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-30 Kenneth L. Clarkson , Cristina Cornelio , Sanjeeb Dash , Joao Goncalves , Lior Horesh , Nimrod Megiddo

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper reviews the design of experiments for generalised linear models, including optimal design, Bayesian design and designs for models with random effects.

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-20 Anthony C. Atkinson , David C. Woods

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

The generation of decision-theoretic Bayesian optimal designs is complicated by the significant computational challenge of minimising an analytically intractable expected loss function over a, potentially, high-dimensional design space. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree , Christopher C. Drovandi

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a principled framework for conducting experiments that leverages Bayesian inference to quantify how much information one can expect to gain from selecting a certain design. However, accurate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-12 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski
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