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Time series data are ubiquitous nowadays. Whereas most of the literature on the topic deals with real-valued time series, categorical time series have received much less attention. However, the development of data mining techniques for this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-26 Ángel López Oriona , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

This paper introduces an R package ForecastTB that can be used to compare the accuracy of different forecasting methods as related to the characteristics of a time series dataset. The ForecastTB is a plug-and-play structured module, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-22 Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde , Zaher Mundher Yaseen , Gorm Bruun Andersen

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

This work introduces the Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF), a versatile and model-agnostic approach for generating prediction intervals with any ML model. SEMF extends the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, traditionally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Ilia Azizi , Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Reasoning on large and complex real-world models is a computationally difficult task, yet one that is required for effective use of many AI applications. A plethora of inference algorithms have been developed that work well on specific…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-06-13 Avi Pfeffer , Brian Ruttenberg , William Kretschmer

The R package BNSP provides a unified framework for semiparametric location-scale regression and stochastic search variable selection. The statistical methodology that the package is built upon utilizes basis function expansions to…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2018-10-09 Georgios Papageorgiou

Finite mixture modelling provides a framework for cluster analysis based on parsimonious Gaussian mixture models. Variable or feature selection is of particular importance in situations where only a subset of the available variables provide…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Luca Scrucca , Adrian E. Raftery

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

This article describes tsmp, an R package that implements the matrix profile concept for time series. The tsmp package is a toolkit that allows all-pairs similarity joins, motif, discords and chains discovery, semantic segmentation, etc.…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-05-19 Francisco Bischoff , Pedro Pereira Rodrigues

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

The Stochastic Block Model (SBM) is a popular probabilistic model for random graphs. It is commonly used for clustering network data by aggregating nodes that share similar connectivity patterns into blocks. When fitting an SBM to a network…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-28 Pierre Barbillon , Julien Chiquet , Timothée Tabouy

A model involving Gaussian processes (GPs) is introduced to simultaneously handle multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for multiple functional data. This procedure acts as a model-based clustering method for functional data as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

Over the last three decades, ensemble forecasts have become an integral part of forecasting the weather. They provide users with more complete information than single forecasts as they permit to estimate the probability of weather events by…

In this paper we propose a novel R package, called rsurv, developed for general survival data simulation purposes. The package is built under a new approach to simulate survival data that depends heavily on the use of dplyr verbs. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Fábio N. Demarqui

In recent years, there has been a surge in effort to formalize notions of fairness in machine learning. We focus on centroid clustering--one of the fundamental tasks in unsupervised machine learning. We propose a new axiom ``proportionally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Haris Aziz , Barton E. Lee , Sean Morota Chu , Jeremy Vollen

Clustering algorithms are among the most widely used data mining methods due to their exploratory power and being an initial preprocessing step that paves the way for other techniques. But the problem of calculating the optimal number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-03 Md Nishat Raihan

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

The 21st century has witnessed a growing interest in the analysis of time series data. Whereas most of the literature on the topic deals with real-valued time series, ordinal time series have typically received much less attention. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Ángel López Oriona , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

In several application domains, high-dimensional observations are collected and then analysed in search for naturally occurring data clusters which might provide further insights about the nature of the problem. In this paper we describe a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-03-07 Brian McWilliams , Giovanni Montana