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This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

Recently, different communities in computer science, telecommunication and control systems have devoted a huge effort towards the design of energy efficient solutions for data transmission and network management. This paper collocates along…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2015-03-11 Angelo Cenedese , Marco Michielan , Federico Tramarin , Stefano Vitturi

Self-awareness is the key capability of autonomous systems, e.g., autonomous driving network, which relies on highly efficient time series forecasting algorithm to enable the system to reason about the future state of the environment, as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Minh-Thanh Bui , Duc-Thinh Ngo , Demin Lu , Zonghua Zhang

We propose an IoT energy service provisioning framework to ensure consumers' Quality of Experience (QoE). A novel context-aware trust assessment model is proposed to evaluate the trustworthiness of providers. Our model adapts to the dynamic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-03 Amani Abusafia , Athman Bouguettaya , Abdallah Lakhdari , Abdallah Lakhdari

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

Energy harvesting offers an attractive and promising mechanism to power low-energy devices. However, it alone is insufficient to enable an energy-neutral operation, which can eliminate tedious battery charging and replacement requirements.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-13 Yigit Tuncel , Ganapati Bhat , Jaehyun Park , Umit Ogras

Time series in energy systems, such as solar irradiance, wind speed, or electrical load, are characterized by strong diurnal and seasonal periodicities. Accurate forecasting requires accounting for time varying statistical properties that…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2026-04-28 Cyril Voyant , Candice Banes , Luis Garcia-Gutierrez , Gilles Notton , Milan Despotovic , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

This paper is concerned with online time series forecasting, where unknown distribution shifts occur over time, i.e., latent variables influence the mapping from historical to future observations. To develop an automated way of online time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Zijian Li , Changze Zhou , Minghao Fu , Sanjay Manjunath , Fan Feng , Guangyi Chen , Yingyao Hu , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

Electricity load forecasting is a necessary capability for power system operators and electricity market participants. The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the…

With the growing number of forecasting techniques and the increasing significance of forecast-based operation - particularly in the rapidly evolving energy sector - selecting the most effective forecasting model has become a critical task.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-24 Fabian Backhaus , Karoline Brucke , Peter Ruckdeschel , Sunke Schlüters

Weather forecasts are typically given in the form of forecast ensembles obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models with varying initial conditions and physics parameterizations. Such ensemble predictions tend to be…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-13 Sebastian Lerch , Sandor Baran

This translational article documents the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) transition from a restricted data licensing model to open access under CC BY 4.0, completed in October 2025. The policy context included EU…

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

The proliferation of intermittent distributed renewable energy sources (RES) in modern power systems has fundamentally compromised the reliability and accuracy of deterministic net load forecasting. Generative models, particularly diffusion…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-04 Yixiang Huang , Jianhua Pei , Luocheng Chen , Zhenchang Du , Jinfu Chen , Zirui Peng

With spotforecast2-safe we present an integrated Compliance-by-Design approach to Python-based point forecasting of time series in safety-critical environments. A review of the relevant open-source tooling shows that existing compliance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Thomas Bartz-Beielstein , Eva Bartz