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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods make use of comparisons between simulated and observed summary statistics to overcome the problem of computationally intractable likelihood functions. As the practical implementation of ABC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-12 M. G. B. Blum , M. A. Nunes , D. Prangle , S. A. Sisson

Also known as likelihood-free methods, approximate Bayesian computational (ABC) methods have appeared in the past ten years as the most satisfactory approach to untractable likelihood problems, first in genetics then in a broader spectrum…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder

Although approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become a popular technique for performing parameter estimation when the likelihood functions are analytically intractable there has not as yet been a complete investigation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-19 Thomas A. Dean , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Data analysis in HEP experiments often uses binned likelihood from data and finite Monte Carlo sample. Statistical uncertainty of Monte Carlo sample has been introduced in Frequentist Inference in some literatures, but they are not suitable…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2023-09-28 Shilin Liu , Clark McGrew

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-14 Samuel Pawel , Guido Consonni , Leonhard Held

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Machine learning models offer the potential to understand diverse datasets in a data-driven way, powering insights into individual disease experiences and ensuring equitable healthcare. In this study, we explore Bayesian inference for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Beatrice Taylor , Cameron Shand , Chris J. D. Hardy , Neil Oxtoby

This Chapter, "ABC Samplers", is to appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). It details the main ideas and algorithms used to sample from the ABC approximation to the posterior distribution, including…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-28 Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) for certain classes of time series models. In particular, we focus upon scenarios where the likelihoods of the observations and parameter are intractable, by which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-01-03 Ajay Jasra

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have become a essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models. Earlier, Grelaud et al. (2009) advocated the use of ABC for Bayesian model choice in the specific case of Gibbs random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Natesh Pillai

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

Frequentist statistical methods, such as hypothesis testing, are standard practice in papers that provide benchmark comparisons. Unfortunately, these methods have often been misused, e.g., without testing for their statistical test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-18 David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) refers to a family of inference methods used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is difficult. Conventional ABC methods often suffer from the curse of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-07-08 Jingjing Li , David J. Nott , Yanan Fan , Scott A. Sisson

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

The choice of the summary statistics used in Bayesian inference and in particular in ABC algorithms has bearings on the validation of the resulting inference. Those statistics are nonetheless customarily used in ABC algorithms without…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-23 J. -M. Marin , N. Pillai , C. P. Robert , J. Rousseau