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This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod (2008) are generalized to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-15 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Vetter

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

In this paper we study the central limit theorem and its functional form for random fields which are not started from their equilibrium, but rather under the measure conditioned by the past sigma field. The initial class considered is that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-13 Magda Peligrad , Dalibor Volný

We propose a nonparametric estimator of the jump activity index $\beta$ of a pure-jump semimartingale $X$ driven by a $\beta$-stable process when the underlying observations are coming from a high-frequency setting at irregular times. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-24 Adrian Theopold , Mathias Vetter

This paper proposes a novel test for simultaneous jumps in a bivariate It\^o semimartingale when observation times are asynchronous and irregular. Inference is built on a realized correlation coefficient for the jumps of the two processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-24 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

We investigate here the behaviour of a large typical meandric system, proving a central limit theorem for the number of components of given shape. Our main tool is a theorem of Gao and Wormald, that allows us to deduce a central limit…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-20 Svante Janson , Paul Thévenin

We give optimal convergence rates in the central limit theorem for a large class of martingale difference sequences with bounded third moments. The rates depend on the behaviour of the conditional variances and for stationary sequences the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Lahcen Ouchti

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

A non-classical formulation of the central limit theorem is given for sequences of independent random variables with finite second moments. Singular sequences whose members all have a degenerate or normal distribution are excluded from…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-29 Alexander Shmyrov , Vasily Shmyrov

This letter derives some new exponential bounds for discrete time, real valued, conditionally symmetric martingales with bounded jumps. The new bounds are extended to conditionally symmetric sub/ supermartingales, and they are compared to…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-02 Igal Sason

The study of stochastic variational principles involves the problem of constructing fixed-endpoint and adapted variations of semimartingales. We provide a detailed construction of variations of semimartingales that are not only fixed at…

数学物理 · 物理学 2025-09-11 Archishman Saha

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

This is a note on some results of the central limit theorem for deterministic dynamical systems. First, we give the central limit theorem for martingales, which is a main tool. Then we give the main results on the central limit theorem in…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-10 Yuwen Wang

We propose statistical tests to discriminate between the finite and infinite activity of jumps in a semimartingale discretely observed at high frequency. The two statistics allow for a symmetric treatment of the problem: we can either take…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein
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