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相关论文: Bayesian Robust Quantile Regression

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A new model framework called Realized Conditional Autoregressive Expectile (Realized-CARE) is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the conventional CARE model, in a manner analogous to the Realized-GARCH model.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-12-28 Richard Gerlach , Chao Wang

In this study, we introduce a novel methodological framework called Bayesian Penalized Empirical Likelihood (BPEL), designed to address the computational challenges inherent in empirical likelihood (EL) approaches. Our approach has two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yuanzheng Zhu

We introduce the beta generalized normal distribution which is obtained by compounding the beta and generalized normal [Nadarajah, S., A generalized normal distribution, \emph{Journal of Applied Statistics}. 32, 685--694, 2005]…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-06 R. J. Cintra , L. C. Rêgo , G. M. Cordeiro , A. D. C. Nascimento

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

We derive new and improved non-asymptotic deviation inequalities for the sample average approximation (SAA) of an optimization problem. Our results give strong error probability bounds that are "sub-Gaussian"~even when the randomness of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-28 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

Expectation propagation (EP) is a deterministic approximation algorithm that is often used to perform approximate Bayesian parameter learning. EP approximates the full intractable posterior distribution through a set of local approximations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-19 Yingzhen Li , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato , Richard E. Turner

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

This research incorporates realized volatility and overnight information into risk models, wherein the overnight return often contributes significantly to the total return volatility. Extending a semi-parametric regression model based on…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Cathy W. S. Chen , Takaaki Koike , Wei-Hsuan Shau

Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Seunghyeon Kim , Kwangmin Lee , Yeonhee Park

The Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) model is an ensemble method extensively and successfully used in regression tasks due to its consistently strong predictive performance and its ability to quantify uncertainty. BART combines…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Mateus Maia , Keefe Murphy , Andrew C. Parnell

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

Large neural networks trained on large datasets have become the dominant paradigm in machine learning. These systems rely on maximum likelihood point estimates of their parameters, precluding them from expressing model uncertainty. This may…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Javier Antoran

This paper develops a two-part finite mixture quantile regression model for semi-continuous longitudinal data. The proposed methodology allows heterogeneity sources that influence the model for the binary response variable, to influence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-19 Antonello Maruotti , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

A sandwich likelihood correction is proposed to remedy an inferential limitation of the Bayesian quantile regression approach based on the misspecified asymmetric Laplace density, by leveraging the benefits of the approach. Supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-19 Karthik Sriram

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Censored quantile regression has emerged as a prominent alternative to classical Cox's proportional hazards model or accelerated failure time model in both theoretical and applied statistics. While quantile regression has been extensively…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Taehwa Choi , Seohyeon Park , Hunyong Cho , Sangbum Choi

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick