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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has gained popularity in recent years owing to its easy implementation, nice interpretation and good performance. Its advantages are more visible when one encounters complex models where maximum…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-19 Xiaolong Zhong , Malay Ghosh

The goal of this paper is to explore the basic Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm via the lens of information theory. ABC is a widely used algorithm in cases where the likelihood of the data is hard to work with or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-14 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

Inverse parameter estimation of process-based models is a long-standing problem in many scientific disciplines. A key question for inverse parameter estimation is how to define the metric that quantifies how well model predictions fit to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-05-09 Florian Hartig , Claudia Dislich , Thorsten Wiegand , Andreas Huth

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods have gained in their popularity over the last decade because they expand the horizon of Bayesian parameter inference methods to the range of models for which only forward simulation is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Majid K. Vakilzadeh , James L. Beck , Thomas Abrahamsson

In many applications involving spatial point patterns, we find evidence of inhibition or repulsion. The most commonly used class of models for such settings are the Gibbs point processes. A recent alternative, at least to the statistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-29 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan. E. Gelfand

A central statistical goal is to choose between alternative explanatory models of data. In many modern applications, such as population genetics, it is not possible to apply standard methods based on evaluating the likelihood functions of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-02-25 Dennis Prangle , Paul Fearnhead , Murray P. Cox , Patrick J. Biggs , Nigel P. French

Selecting between different dependency structures of hidden Markov random field can be very challenging, due to the intractable normalizing constant in the likelihood. We answer this question with approximate Bayesian computation (ABC)…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Pierre Pudlo , Lionel Cucala

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods make use of comparisons between simulated and observed summary statistics to overcome the problem of computationally intractable likelihood functions. As the practical implementation of ABC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-12 M. G. B. Blum , M. A. Nunes , D. Prangle , S. A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). Indirect inference (II) is a classical likelihood-free approach that pre-dates the main developments of ABC and relies on simulation from a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-07 Christopher C Drovandi

A new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm for Bayesian updating of model parameters is proposed in this paper, which combines the ABC principles with the technique of Subset Simulation for efficient rare-event simulation, first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-25 Manuel Chiachio , James L. Beck , Juan Chiachio , Guillermo Rus

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

Sequential algorithms such as sequential importance sampling (SIS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) have proven fundamental in Bayesian inference for models not admitting a readily available likelihood function. For approximate Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of Bayesian inference algorithms that targets for problems with intractable or {unavailable} likelihood function. It uses synthetic data drawn from the simulation model to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential part of the Bayesian toolbox for addressing problems in which the likelihood is prohibitively expensive or entirely unknown, making it intractable. ABC defines a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Hien D. Nguyen , Julyan Arbel , Hongliang Lü , Florence Forbes

We propose generalized random forests, a method for non-parametric statistical estimation based on random forests (Breiman, 2001) that can be used to fit any quantity of interest identified as the solution to a set of local moment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-06 Susan Athey , Julie Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich