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A central issue in the theory of extreme values focuses on suitable conditions such that the well-known results for the limiting distributions of the maximum of i.i.d. sequences can be applied to stationary ones. In this context, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-07 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

Regular variation is often used as the starting point for modeling multivariate heavy-tailed data. A random vector is regularly varying if and only if its radial part $R$ is regularly varying and is asymptotically independent of the angular…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

We analyze the largest eigenvalue statistics of m-dependent heavy-tailed Wigner matrices as well as the associated sample covariance matrices having entry-wise regularly varying tail distributions with parameter $0<\alpha<4$. Our analysis…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-03 Bojan Basrak , Yeonok Cho , Johannes Heiny , Paul Jung

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

We study stochastic dominance between portfolios of independent and identically distributed (iid) extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) Pareto random variables. With the notion of majorization order, we show that a more diversified…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-11 Yuyu Chen , Taizhong Hu , Ruodu Wang , Zhenfeng Zou

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

We consider Stochastic Volatility processes with heavy tails and possible long memory in volatility. We study the limiting conditional distribution of future events given that some present or past event was extreme (i.e. above a level which…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-17 Rafał Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We consider strictly stationary heavy tailed time series whose finite-dimensional exponent measures are concentrated on axes, and hence their extremal properties cannot be tackled using classical multivariate regular variation that is…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-10 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-15 Thomas Mikosch , Igor Rodionov

Large deviations for fat tailed distributions, i.e. those that decay slower than exponential, are not only relatively likely, but they also occur in a rather peculiar way where a finite fraction of the whole sample deviation is concentrated…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-03 Mario Filiasi , Giacomo Livan , Matteo Marsili , Maria Peressi , Erik Vesselli , Elia Zarinelli

It is well-known that large deviations of random walks driven by independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables are governed by the so-called principle of one large jump. We note that further subtleties hold for such…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-30 Harald Bernhard , Bikramjit Das

Random matrices whose entries come from a stationary Gaussian process are studied. The limiting behavior of the eigenvalues as the size of the matrix goes to infinity is the main subject of interest in this work. It is shown that the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-22 Arijit Chakrabarty , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Deepayan Sarkar

This paper introduces a novel process for both factor and idiosyncratic volatility matrices whose eigenvalues follow the vector auto-regressive (VAR) model. We call it the factor and idiosyncratic VAR (FIVAR) model. The FIVAR model accounts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Yazhen Wang , Jianqing Fan

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

We consider large complex random sample covariance matrices obtained from "spiked populations", that is when the true covariance matrix is diagonal with all but finitely many eigenvalues equal to one. We investigate the limiting behavior of…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Delphine Féral , Sandrine Péché

In this paper we introduce and study several multivariate, heavy-tailed distribution classes, and we explore their closure properties and their applications. We consider the class of multivariate, positively decreasing distributions, and…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

This paper introduces novel frameworks for large deviations and metastability analysis in heavy-tailed stochastic dynamical systems. We develop and apply these frameworks within the context of stochastic difference equation $X^\eta_{j+1}(x)…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-12 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

We study an unconventional chiral random matrix model with a heavy-tailed probabilistic weight. The model is shown to exhibit chiral symmetry breaking with no bilinear condensate, in analogy to the Stern phase of QCD. We solve the model…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2016-05-31 Takuya Kanazawa