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The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

This paper introduces a new methodology for extreme spatial dependence structure selection. It is based on deep learning techniques, specifically Convolutional Neural Networks -CNNs. Two schemes are considered: in the first scheme, the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-09-23 Manaf Ahmed , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

ELM (Extreme Learning Machine) is a single hidden layer feed-forward network, where the weights between input and hidden layer are initialized randomly. ELM is efficient due to its utilization of the analytical approach to compute weights…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Qiuyan Yan , Qifa Sun , Xinming Yan

The rapid expansion of social network provides a suitable platform for users to deliver messages. Through the social network, we can harvest resources and share messages in a very short time. The developing of social network has brought us…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-10-28 Pengli Lu , Chen Dong

Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically investigate the topology of local and non-local statistical interrelationships, i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from the same…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-07-27 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

We present a new approach to modeling the future development of extreme temperatures globally and on a long time-scale by using non-stationary generalized extreme value distributions in combination with logistic functions. This approach is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-07-28 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

The path toward realizing the potential of seasonal forecasting and its socioeconomic benefits depends heavily on improving general circulation model based dynamical forecasting systems. To improve dynamical seasonal forecast, it is crucial…

The importance of the sea ice retreat in the polar regions for the global warming and the role of ice-albedo feedback was recognized by various authors [1,2]. Similar to a recent study of the phenomenon in the Arctic [3] we present a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2018-07-18 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

Recent studies have shown that high disparities in effective learning rates (ELRs) across layers in deep neural networks can negatively affect trainability. We formalize how these disparities evolve over time by modeling weight dynamics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-27 Christian H. X. Ali Mehmeti-Göpel , Michael Wand

We construct and analyze climate networks based on daily satellite measurements of temperatures and geopotential heights. We show that these networks are stable during time and are similar over different altitudes. Each link in our network…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2011-09-27 Yehiel Berezin , Avi Gozolchiani , Shlomo Havlin

Aims: We studied the precipitable water vapour (PWV) content near Cerro Armazones and discuss the potential use of our technique of modelling the telluric absorbtion lines for the investigation of other molecular layers. The site is…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-16 Masha Lakicevic , Stefan Kimeswenger , Stefan Noll , Wolfgang Kausch , Stefanie Unterguggenberger , Florian Kerber

Evolutionary hypotheses to explain the greater numbers of species in the tropics than the temperate zone include greater age and area, higher temperature and metabolic rates, and greater ecological opportunity. These ideas make contrasting…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-02 Dolph Schluter

Location-aware networks will introduce innovative services and applications for modern convenience, applied ocean sciences, and public safety. In this paper, we establish a hybrid method for model-based and data-driven inference. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-28 Mingchao Liang , Florian Meyer

Recently, considerable attention has been devoted to the prediction problems arising from heterogeneous information networks. In this paper, we present a new prediction task, Neighbor Distribution Prediction (NDP), which aims at predicting…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-09-29 Yuchi Ma , Ning Yang , Chuan Li , Lei Zhang , Philip S. Yu

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

We introduce a new formulation of local clustering coefficient for weighted correlation networks. This new formulation is based upon a definition introduced previously in the neuroscience context and aimed at compensating for spurious…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-12-29 Mikhail Krivonosov , Olga Vershinina , Anna Pirova , Shraddha Gupta , Oleg Kanakov , Jürgen Kurths

In modeling spatial extremes, the dependence structure is classically inferred by assuming that block maxima derive from max-stable processes. Weather stations provide daily records rather than just block maxima. The point process approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-15 Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan , Xuebin Zhang

Climate change has been a common interest and the forefront of crucial political discussion and decision-making for many years. Shallow clouds play a significant role in understanding the Earth's climate, but they are challenging to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-13 Tashin Ahmed , Noor Hossain Nuri Sabab

Studying extreme events and how they evolve in a changing climate is one of the most important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty is to be able to run long enough simulations in order to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-12-27 Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters , Freddy Bouchet