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El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) diversity is characterized based on the longitudinal location of maximum sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and amplitude in the tropical Pacific, as Central Pacific (CP) events are typically…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Jakob Schlör , Felix Strnad , Antonietta Capotondi , Bedartha Goswami

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-31 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events like droughts and flooding. Additionally, ENSO influences the mean global temperature with…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-02-04 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

We propose a scenario that explains many of the Pacific Ocean climate phenomena that are called El Nino/ La Nina. This scenario requires an event, which we call a Super-Nino Event. It dominates other phenomena when it occurs. A template of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , Drew R. Abrams , David M. Baranson , B. David Clader

The El Ni\~no phenomenon, synonymously El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is an anomalous climatic oscillation in the Equatorial Pacific that occurs once every 3-8 years. It affects the earth's climate on a global scale. Whether it is a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Debabrata Panja , Gerrit Burgers

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation global (ENSO) imprint on sea surface temperature comes in many guises. To identify its tropical fingerprints and impacts on the rest of the climate system, we propose a global approach based on archetypal…

El Nino is an extreme weather event featuring unusual warming of surface waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. This phenomenon is characterized by heavy rains and floods that negatively affect the economic activities of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-09 Hugo Alatrista-Salas , Vincent Gauthier , Miguel Nunez-del-Prado , Monique Becker

The fact that the Earth climate is a highly complex dynamical system is well-known. In the last few decades a lot of effort has been focused on understanding how climate phenomena in one geographical region affects the climate of other…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-17 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro

The spatial coherence of a measured variable (e.g. temperature or pressure) is often studied to determine the regions where this variable varies the most or to find teleconnections, i.e. correlations between specific regions. While usual…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Alberto Bernacchia , Philippe Naveau , Mathieu Vrac , Pascal Yiou

We show that the climate phenomena of El Nino and La Nina arise naturally as states of macro-variables when our recent causal feature learning framework (Chalupka 2015, Chalupka 2016) is applied to micro-level measures of zonal wind (ZW)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-31 Krzysztof Chalupka , Tobias Bischoff , Pietro Perona , Frederick Eberhardt

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of year-to-year variations of the global climate and can lead to extreme weather conditions and disasters in various regions around the world. Here, we review two different…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-26 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

Satellite and ground-based observations are used to explore the composite oceanic - atmospheric link known as the El Ni\~no/La Ni\~na Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which is closely associated with extreme weather events (e.g. heat…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-08-22 Costas A. Varotsos , Arthur P. Cracknell

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits diverse characteristics in spatial pattern, peak intensity, and temporal evolution. Here we develop a three-region multiscale stochastic model to show that the observed ENSO complexity can be…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-04-16 Nan Chen , Xianghui Fang , Jin-Yi Yu

Oceanic Kelvin and Rossby waves play an important role in tropical climate and \en dynamics. Here we develop and apply a climate network approach to quantify the characteristics of \en related oceanic waves, based on sea surface height…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-03-23 Yang Wang , Avi Gozolchiani , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

The predictability of extreme winter regimes in the regions of Northern Eurasia depending on El Ni\~no phenomena is assessed using data from long-term meteorological observations. The frequency of extremely warm and extremely cold winters…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-29 I. I. Mokhov

This study introduces the second version of the Integrated Climate Model (ICM). ICM is developed by the Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics to improve the short-term climate prediction of the East…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-11 Ping Huang , Lei Wang , Pengfei Wang , Zhihua Zhang , Gang Huang

We construct and analyze a climate network which represents the interdependent structure of the climate in different geographical zones and find that the network responds in a unique way to El-Ni\~{n}o events. Analyzing the dynamics of the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Avi Gozolchiani , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) and pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean with a period of 2-7 years. As the largest mode of interannual variability on Earth, ENSO shapes…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 PJ Tuckman , Da Yang

Complex networks have been used intensively to investigate the flow and dynamics of many natural systems including the climate system. Here, we develop a percolation based measure, the order parameter, to study and quantify climate…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-02-24 Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin