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A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is arguably the dominant statistical inference algorithm used in most popular "first-order differentiable" Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs). However, the fact that HMC uses derivative information…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-31 Bradley Gram-Hansen , Yuan Zhou , Tobias Kohn , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang , Frank Wood

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method generates samples by introducing a mechanical system that explores the target density. For distributions on manifolds it is not always simple to perform the mechanics as a result of the lack of global…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-22 Alessandro Barp , Anthony Kennedy , Mark Girolami

Value function based reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms, for example, $Q$-learning, learn optimal policies from datasets of actions, rewards, and state transitions. However, when the underlying state transition dynamics are stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Udari Madhushani , Biswadip Dey , Naomi Ehrich Leonard , Amit Chakraborty

An algorithm is proposed to solve robust control problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients, based on the so-called MG/OPT framework. The levels in this MG/OPT hierarchy correspond to discretization…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-07-21 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

A Monte Carlo method to optimize cuts on variables is presented and evaluated. The method gives a much higher signal to noise ratio than does a manual choice of cuts.

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2007-12-21 Erik Elfgren

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) is a variance reduction method that leverages a multi-fidelity ensemble of models of varying cost and accuracy levels. Constructing an MFMC estimator with optimal variance requires knowledge of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Michael Stanley , Thomas Coons , Geoffrey Bomarito , Patrick Leser , Joshua Pribe , James Warner

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

Equality-constrained models naturally arise in problems in which measurements are taken at different levels of resolution. The challenge in this setting is that the models usually induce a joint distribution which is intractable. Resorting…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Shenggang Hu , Hongsheng Dai , Fanlin Meng , Louis Aslett , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

Monte Carlo planners can often return sub-optimal actions, even if they are guaranteed to converge in the limit of infinite samples. Known asymptotic regret bounds do not provide any way to measure confidence of a recommended action at the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 John Mern , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

We develop Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithms for constrained Hamiltonian systems of gauge- Higgs models and introduce a new observable for the constraint effective Higgs potential. We use an extension of the so-called Rattle algorithm to…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2020-05-15 Michael Günther , Roman Höllwieser , Francesco Knechtli

We propose an importance sampling (IS)-based transport map Hamiltonian Monte Carlo procedure for performing full Bayesian analysis in general nonlinear high-dimensional hierarchical models. Using IS techniques to construct a transport map,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-11 Kjartan Kloster Osmundsen , Tore Selland Kleppe , Roman Liesenfeld

We discuss modern ideas in Monte Carlo algorithms in the simplified setting of the one-dimensional anharmonic oscillator. After reviewing the connection between molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo, we introduce to the Metropolis and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-08-07 Gabriele Tartero , Werner Krauth

The celebrated Monte Carlo method estimates an expensive-to-compute quantity by random sampling. Bandit-based Monte Carlo optimization is a general technique for computing the minimum of many such expensive-to-compute quantities by adaptive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Vivek Bagaria , Tavor Z. Baharav , Govinda M. Kamath , David N. Tse

Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) is a sampling algorithm that seeks to adapt proposals to the local geometry of the posterior distribution. The specific form of the Hamiltonian used in RMHMC necessitates {\it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-11-22 James A. Brofos , Roy R. Lederman

We introduce a class of Monte Carlo estimators that aim to overcome the rapid growth of variance with dimension often observed for standard estimators by exploiting the target's independence structure. We identify the most basic…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-02 Juan Kuntz , Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

Quantum Monte Carlo method is used to look into the superconductivity in the three-leg Hubbard ladder. The enhanced correlation for the pairing across the central and edge chains, which has been predicted in the weak-coupling…

超导电性 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Takashi Kimura , Kazuhiko Kuroki , Hideo Aoki
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