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We systematically investigate issues due to mis-specification that arise in estimating causal effects when (treatment) interference is informed by a network available pre-intervention, i.e., in situations where the outcome of a unit may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-22 Vishesh Karwa , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

We study the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for general latent-variable models under (i) distributional misspecification and (ii) nonidentifiability induced by a group action. We formulate EM on the quotient parameter space and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Koustav Mallik

Bayesian variable selection often assumes normality, but the effects of model misspecification are not sufficiently understood. There are sound reasons behind this assumption, particularly for large $p$: ease of interpretation, analytical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-07 David Rossell , Francisco J. Rubio

Empirical economists are often deterred from the application of fixed effects binary choice models mainly for two reasons: the incidental parameter problem and the computational challenge even in moderately large panels. Using the example…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-27 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

In healthcare, predictive models increasingly inform patient-level decisions, yet little attention is paid to the variability in individual risk estimates and its impact on treatment decisions. For overparameterized models, now standard in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Elizabeth W. Miller , Jeffrey D. Blume

All models may be wrong -- but that is not necessarily a problem for inference. Consider the standard $t$-test for the significance of a variable $X$ for predicting response $Y$ whilst controlling for $p$ other covariates $Z$ in a random…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-20 Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann

Model selection is crucial to high-dimensional learning and inference for contemporary big data applications in pinpointing the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate interpretable models. Most existing work assumes implicitly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-21 Emre Demirkaya , Yang Feng , Pallavi Basu , Jinchi Lv

We consider a stochastic convex optimization problem that requires minimizing a sum of misspecified agentspecific expectation-valued convex functions over the intersection of a collection of agent-specific convex sets. This misspecification…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-22 Aswin Kannan , Angelia Nedich , Uday V. Shanbhag

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Datasets from the fields of bioinformatics, chemometrics, and face recognition are typically characterized by small samples of high-dimensional data. Among the many variants of linear discriminant analysis that have been proposed in order…

We consider causal inference in dynamic settings where treatment is assigned by thresholding a state variable that can change over time. There is a large literature on regression-discontinuity methods building on the fact that, in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Aditya Ghosh , Stefan Wager

This paper considers the problem of mismeasured categorical covariates in the context of regression modeling; if unaccounted for, such misclassification is known to result in misestimation of model parameters. Here, we exploit the fact that…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-28 P. Richard Hahn , Michelle Xia

Supervised classifying of biological samples based on genetic information, (e.g. gene expression profiles) is an important problem in biostatistics. In order to find both accurate and interpretable classification rules variable selection is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-09 Bernd Klaus

Statistical models that include random effects are commonly used to analyze longitudinal and correlated data, often with strong and parametric assumptions about the random effects distribution. There is marked disagreement in the literature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-11 Charles E. McCulloch , John M. Neuhaus

Typical adversarial-training-based unsupervised domain adaptation methods are vulnerable when the source and target datasets are highly-complex or exhibit a large discrepancy between their data distributions. Recently, several…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-17 Guanyu Cai , Lianghua He , Mengchu Zhou , Hesham Alhumade , Die Hu

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-23 Brian Sifringer , Virginie Lurkin , Alexandre Alahi

Compounding error, where small prediction mistakes accumulate over time, presents a major challenge in learning-based control. For example, this issue often limits the performance of model-based reinforcement learning and imitation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-03 Anne Somalwar , Bruce D. Lee , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

While in recent years a number of new statistical approaches have been proposed to model group differences with a different assumption on the nature of the measurement invariance of the instruments, the tools for detecting local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-04 Artur Pokropek , Ernest Pokropek

The article presents new results on the Propagation-Separation Approach by Polzehl and Spokoiny [2006]. This iterative procedure provides a unified approach for nonparametric estimation, sup- posing a local parametric model. The adaptivity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-03 Saskia Becker