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Decades of research suggest that information exchange in groups and organizations can reliably improve judgment accuracy in tasks such as financial forecasting, market research, and medical decision-making. However, we show that improving…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-26 Joshua Becker , Douglas Guilbeault , Ned Smith

We study binary opinion dynamics in a fully connected network of interacting agents. The agents are assumed to interact according to one of the following rules: (1) Voter rule: An updating agent simply copies the opinion of another randomly…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-04 Arpan Mukhopadhyay , Ravi R. Mazumdar , Rahul Roy

For a binary choice problem, the spatial coordination of decisions in an agent community is investigated both analytically and by means of stochastic computer simulations. The individual decisions are based on different local information…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Frank Schweitzer , Joerg Zimmermann , Heinz Muehlenbein

Here we focus on the description of the mechanisms behind the process of information aggregation and decision making, a basic step to understand emergent phenomena in society, such as trends, information spreading or the wisdom of crowds.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-04-15 Víctor M. Eguíluz , N. Masuda , J. Fernández-Gracia

Individual choices are either based on personal experience or on information provided by peers. The latter case, causes individuals to conform to the majority in their neighborhood. Such herding behavior may be very efficient in aggregating…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Philippe Curty , Matteo Marsili

We investigate majority rule dynamics in a population with two classes of people, each with two opinion states $\pm 1$, and with tunable interactions between people in different classes. In an update, a randomly selected group adopts the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-06-23 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

We consider an agent community wishing to decide on several binary issues by means of issue-by-issue majority voting. For each issue and each agent, one of the two options is better than the other. However, some of the agents may be…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Shiri Alouf-Heffetz , Laurent Bulteau , Edith Elkind , Nimrod Talmon , Nicholas Teh

Consider n individuals who, by popular vote, choose among q >= 2 alternatives, one of which is "better" than the others. Assume that each individual votes independently at random, and that the probability of voting for the better…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-25 Elchanan Mossel , Joe Neeman , Omer Tamuz

We generalize a binary majority-vote model on adaptive networks to a plurality-vote counterpart. When opinions are uniformly distributed in the population of voters in the initial state, it is found that having more available opinions in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-24 Degang Wu , Kwok Yip Szeto

A researcher observes a finite sequence of choices made by multiple agents in a binary-state environment. Agents maximize expected utilities that depend on their chosen alternative and the unknown underlying state. Agents learn about the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-05-11 Rahul Deb , Ludovic Renou

We study a model of consensus decision making, in which a finite group of Bayesian agents has to choose between one of two courses of action. Each member of the group has a private and independent signal at his or her disposal, giving some…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

Collective decision-making is a process by which a group of individuals determines a shared outcome that shapes societal dynamics; from innovation diffusion to organizational choices. A common approach to model these processes is using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-03 Maciej Doniec , Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

We propose an agent-based model of collective opinion formation to study the wisdom of crowds under social influence. The opinion of an agent is a continuous positive value, denoting its subjective answer to a factual question. The wisdom…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-25 Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

We study an outcome of a vote in a population of voters exposed to an externally applied bias in favour of one of two potential candidates. The population consists of ordinary individuals, that are in majority and tend to align their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-31 V. S. Dotsenko , C. Mejía-Monasterio , G. Oshanin

We expect that democracy enables us to utilize collective intelligence such that our collective decisions build and enhance social welfare, and such that we accept their distributive and normative consequences. Collective decisions are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-06 Jan Lorenz , Martin Neumann

We propose and study a stochastic binary opinion model where agents in a group are considered to hold an opinion of 0 or 1 at each moment. An agent in the group updates his/her opinion based on the group's opinion configuration and his/her…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-27 Serap Tay Stamoulas , Muruhan Rathinam

The dynamics of spreading of the minority opinion in public debates (a reform proposal, a behavior change, a military retaliation) is studied using a diffusion reaction model. People move by discrete step on a landscape of random geometry…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Serge Galam

The voter model consists of a set of agents whose opinion is a binary variable. At each time step, an agent along with a social neighbor is selected and the agent imitates the social neighbor at the next time step. In this paper, we study a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-06 Hsin-Lun Li

We consider a dynamic collective choice problem where a large number of players are cooperatively choosing between multiple destinations while being influenced by the behavior of the group. For example, in a robotic swarm exploring a new…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-06-17 Rabih Salhab , Jerome Le Ny , Roland P. Malhamé
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