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We describe a new tool developed for solar flare forecasting on the base of some sunspot group properties. Assuming that the flare frequency follows the Poisson statistics, this tool uses a database containing the morphological…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-05-16 M. Falco , P. Costa , P. Romano

Received: 1st December 2018; Accepted: 18th February 2019; Published: 1st April 2019 Abstract: The calculated filling factors (FFs) for a feature reflect the fraction of the solar disc covered by that feature, and the assignment of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-04-03 Amro F. Alasta , Abdrazag Algamudi , Fatma Almesrati , Mustapha Meftah , Rami Qahwaji

The use of different solar activity indices like sunspot numbers, sunspot areas, flare index, magnetic fields, etc., allows us to investigate the time evolution of some specific features of the solar activity and the underlying dynamo…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-10-11 Stefano Sello

The sunspot groups have been observed since 1610 and their numbers have been used for evaluating the amplitude of solar activity. Daniel M\"ogling recorded his sunspot observations for more than 100 days in 1626 - 1629 and formed a…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-02-09 Hisashi Hayakawa , Tomoya Iju , Koji Murata , Bruno P. Besser

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

We have examined the more than 1100 drawings of the solar disk made by the German astronomy amateur Johann Caspar Staudach during 1749-1799 and counted the spots on each image. Using the modern perception of how to group spots into active…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-11-06 Leif Svalgaard

Sunspots are the standard measure of solar magnetic activity, which are also used to estimate solar spectral irradiance over centennial time scales. However, because of the lack of homogeneous, century-long spectral measurements, the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-10-27 Kalevi Mursula

To study and forecast the solar activity data a quite perspective method of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is proposed. As known, data of the solar activity are usually presented via the Wolf numbers associated with the effective amount…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Loskutov , I. A. Istomin , K. M. Kuzanyan , O. L. Kotlyarov

Long-term synoptic observations in the resonance line of Ca II K constitute a fundamental database for a variety of retrospective analyses of the state of the solar magnetism. Synoptic Ca II K observations began in late 1904 at the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-06-29 Luca Bertello , Alexei A. Pevtsov , Andrey Tlatov , Jagdev Singh

The solar magnetic field is responsible for all aspects of solar activity. Sunspots are the main manifestation of the ensuing solar activity. Combining high-resolution and synoptic observations has the ambition to provide a comprehensive…

In this paper Fourier Transform and Wavelet Transform are applied in case of recent 300 years of sunspot numbers to explain the solar cycles. Here basically parallel study of Fourier and Wavelet analysis are done and we have observed that…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2013-12-11 Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay , Debadatta Dash , Asish Mitra , Prasanta K. Panigrahi

In 2015 the calculation of the International (Zurich) sunspot number was cancelled, and it was replaced by a new "recalibrated" series. A new data series was proposed also for the Group sunspot number. As a result, these two series which…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-01-24 Katya Georgieva , Ali Kilcik , Yury Nagovitsyn , Boian Kirov

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

We use 5 test data series to quantify putative discontinuities around 1946 in 5 annual-mean sunspot number or group number sequences. The series tested are: the original and new versions of the Wolf/Zurich/International sunspot number…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-10-05 Mike Lockwood , Mathew J. Owens , Luke A. Barnard

The emergence and decay of the sunspot groups are important components of the solar dynamo models. There are two different types of studies on the evolution of active regions. One of them is based on fewer data with higher spatial…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-04-08 Judit Muraközy

Sunspot groups often emerge in spatial-temporal clusters, known as nests or complexes of activity. Quantifying how frequently such nesting occurs is important for understanding the organisation and recurrence of solar magnetic fields. We…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 Nurdan Karapinar , Emre Isik , Natalie A. Krivova , Hakan V. Senavci

Long and consistent sunspot area records are important for understanding the long-term solar activity and variability. Multiple observatories around the globe have regularly recorded sunspot areas, but such individual records only cover…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-08-19 Sudip Mandal , Natalie A. Krivova , Sami K. Solanki , Nimesh Sinha , Dipankar Banerjee

Ground-based solar observations provide key contextual data (i.e., the 'big picture') to produce a complete description of the only astrosphere we can study in situ: our Sun's heliosphere. The next decade will see the beginning of…

We give a gentle introduction to solar imaging data, focusing on the challenges and opportunities of data-driven approaches for solar eruptions. The various solar phenomenon prediction problems that might benefit from statistical methods…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Yang Chen , Ward Manchester , Meng Jin , Alexei Pevtsov

The sunspot record is the only observational tracer of solar activity that provides a fundamental, multi-century reference. Its homogeneity has been largely maintained with a succession of long-duration visual observers. In this paper, we…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-01-06 Hisashi Hayakawa , Frédéric Clette , Toshihiro Horaguchi , Tomoya Iju , Delores J. Knipp , Huixin Liu , Takashi Nakajima