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In this work we present a rigorous application of the Expectation Maximization algorithm to determine the marginal distributions and the dependence structure in a Gaussian copula model with missing data. We further show how to circumvent a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Maximilian Kertel , Markus Pauly

Encouraged by the study of extremal limits for sums of the form $$\lim_{N\to\infty}\frac{1 }{N}\sum_{n=1}^N c(x_n,y_n)$$ with uniformly distributed sequences $\{x_n\},\,\{y_n\}$ the following extremal problem is of interest…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-02-25 Maria Rita Iacò , Stefan Thonhauser , Robert F. Tichy

We derive sharp upper and lower bounds for the pointwise concentration function of the maximum statistic of $d$ identically distributed real-valued random variables. Our first main result places no restrictions either on the common marginal…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-04 Matias D. Cattaneo , Ricardo P. Masini , William G. Underwood

The problem of determining the joint probability distributions for correlated random variables with pre-specified marginals is considered. When the joint distribution satisfying all the required conditions is not unique, the "most unbiased"…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Hernán Larralde

The distribution function of the sum $Z$ of two standard normally distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between $X$ and $Y$. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Walter Schneider

We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-01-19 Damien Ackerer , Thibault Vatter

As a motivating problem, we aim to study some special aspects of the marginal distributions of the order statistics for exchangeable and (more generally) for minimally stable non-negative random variables $T_{1},...,T_{r}$. In any case, we…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-16 Rachele Foschi , Giovanna Nappo , Fabio L. Spizzichino

Many types of bounded data defined on the unit interval arise naturally as ratios of the form $X/(X + Y)$. In the existing literature, the main statistical models proposed for this type of bounded data typically based on the assumption that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Roberto Vila , Felipe Quintino , Marcelo Bourguignon

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-14 Michael Levine , Gildas Mazo

We consider the integration of two-dimensional, piecewise constant functions with respect to copulas. By drawing a connection to linear assignment problems, we can give optimal upper and lower bounds for such integrals and construct the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-26 Markus Hofer , Maria Rita Iacò

The multiple extension problem arises frequently in diagnostic and default inference. That is, we can often use any of a number of sets of defaults or possible hypotheses to explain observations or make Predictions. In default inference,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-11 Eric Neufeld , David L Poole

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

We develop improved rearrangement algorithms to find the dependence structure that minimizes a convex function of the sum of dependent variables with given margins. We propose a new multivariate dependence measure, which can assess the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-07-14 Carole Bernard , Don McLeish

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

A simple graphical model for correlated defaults is proposed, with explicit formulas for the loss distribution. Algebraic geometry techniques are employed to show that this model is well posed for default dependence: it represents any given…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 I. Onur Filiz , Xin Guo , Jason Morton , Bernd Sturmfels

We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to provide exact conditional coverage universally in finite samples. Thus, most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Given any finite or countable collection of real numbers $T_j,j\in J$, we find all solutions $F$ to the stochastic fixed point equation \[W\stackrel{\mathrm {d}}{=}\inf_{j\in J}T_jW_j,\] where $W$ and the $W_j,j\in J$, are independent…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Uwe Rösler

Copula modeling consists in finding a probabilistic distribution, called copula, whereby its coupling with the marginal distributions of a set of random variables produces their joint distribution. The present work aims to use this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-04-24 Pierre Nazé

We study the sharp bounds of $\mathbb{E}[X_1\cdots X_d]$ when the univariate marginal distributions are known, but the dependence structure between them is unspecified. Maximizing products over non-negative variables is straightforward via…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-27 Christopher Blier-Wong , Jinghui Chen
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