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This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

In this paper we present a data-adaptive estimation procedure for estimation of average treatment effects in a time-to-event setting based on generalized random forests. In these kinds of settings, the definition of causal effect parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Claus T. Ekstrøm , Lars V. Kessing , Thomas A. Gerds

Class imbalance poses a major challenge in different classification tasks, which is a frequently occurring scenario in many real-world applications. Data resampling is considered to be the standard approach to address this issue. The goal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-31 Asif Newaz , Md. Salman Mohosheu , MD. Abdullah al Noman , Taskeed Jabid

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging…

There is a widespread and longstanding belief that machine learning models are biased towards the majority class when learning from imbalanced binary response data, leading them to neglect or ignore the minority class. Motivated by a recent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

In this article, we propose a novel probabilistic framework to improve the accuracy of a weighted majority voting algorithm. In order to assign higher weights to the classifiers which can correctly classify hard-to-classify instances, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-13 Ziheng Chen , Hongshik Ahn

This work proposes a structural approach to concept drift detection in malware classification using decision tree rulesets. Classifiers are trained across temporal windows on the EMBER2024 dataset, and drift is quantified by comparing…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Tomáš Kalný , Martin Jureček , Mark Stamp

The Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a recently introduced Random Forest algorithm to estimate multivariate conditional distributions. Due to its general estimation procedure, it can be employed to estimate a wide range of targets such…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-20 Jeffrey Näf , Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

In many real-world AD applications including computer security and fraud prevention, the anomaly detector must be configurable by the human analyst to minimize the effort on false positives. One important way to configure the detector is by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Shubhomoy Das , Md Rakibul Islam , Nitthilan Kannappan Jayakodi , Janardhan Rao Doppa

As next-generation networks materialize, increasing levels of intelligence are required. Federated Learning has been identified as a key enabling technology of intelligent and distributed networks; however, it is prone to concept drift as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-07 Dimitrios Michael Manias , Ibrahim Shaer , Li Yang , Abdallah Shami

This paper describes the RRMSE (Relative Root Mean Square Error) based weights to weight the occurrences of predictive values before averaging for the ensemble voting regression. The core idea behind ensemble regression is to combine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Shikun Chen , Nguyen Manh Luc

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

We address the problem of finding influential training samples for a particular case of tree ensemble-based models, e.g., Random Forest (RF) or Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT). A natural way of formalizing this problem is studying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-14 Boris Sharchilev , Yury Ustinovsky , Pavel Serdyukov , Maarten de Rijke

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Big Data is one of the major challenges of statistical science and has numerous consequences from algorithmic and theoretical viewpoints. Big Data always involve massive data but they also often include online data and data heterogeneity.…

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

We study various types of consistency of honest decision trees and random forests in the regression setting. In contrast to related literature, our proofs are elementary and follow the classical arguments used for smoothing methods. Under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

New models of random forests jointly using the attention and self-attention mechanisms are proposed for solving the regression problem. The models can be regarded as extensions of the attention-based random forest whose idea stems from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Lev V. Utkin , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Deep learning-based trajectory prediction models for autonomous driving often struggle with generalization to out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios, sometimes performing worse than simple rule-based models. To address this limitation, we…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Jinning Li , Jiachen Li , Sangjae Bae , David Isele

Decision trees and their ensembles are popular in machine learning as easy-to-understand models. Several techniques have been proposed in the literature for learning tree-based classifiers, with different techniques working well for data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Maria-Florina Balcan , Dravyansh Sharma