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Weakly stationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are the principal tool in the statistical approaches to the design and analysis of computer experiments (or Uncertainty Quantification). Such processes are fitted to computer model output using a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-28 Victoria Volodina , Daniel B. Williamson

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Vladimir Feinberg , Li-Fang Cheng , Kai Li , Barbara E Engelhardt

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

We propose a Standing Wave Decomposition (SWD) approximation to Gaussian Process regression (GP). GP involves a costly matrix inversion operation, which limits applicability to large data analysis. For an input space that can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-19 Chi-Ken Lu , Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Patrick Shafto

Over the last two decades, the science has come a long way from relying on only physical experiments and observations to experimentation using computer simulators. This chapter focusses on the modelling and analysis of data arising from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-22 M. Harshvardhan , Pritam Ranjan

Nonstationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are essential for modeling complex, locally heterogeneous spatial data. A common modeling approach is the spatial deformation method that warps the domain to recover isotropy. However, this static…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Minghao Gu , Weizhi Lin , Qiang Huang

Surrogate modeling based on Gaussian processes (GPs) has received increasing attention in the analysis of complex problems in science and engineering. Despite extensive studies on GP modeling, the developments for functional inputs are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-04 Chih-Li Sung , Wenjia Wang , Fioralba Cakoni , Isaac Harris , Ying Hung

In this paper, a new framework, named as graphical state space model, is proposed for the real time optimal estimation of a class of nonlinear state space model. By discretizing this kind of system model as an equation which can not be…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-10 Shaolin Lü

Gaussian processes (GPs) are sophisticated distributions to model functional data. Whilst theoretically appealing, they are computationally cumbersome except for small datasets. We implement two methods for scaling GP inference in Stan:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The use of Gaussian process models is typically limited to datasets with a few tens of thousands of observations due to their complexity and memory footprint. The two most commonly used methods to overcome this limitation are 1) the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Vincent Adam , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Nicolas Durrande , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

The Poisson-gamma state space (PGSS) models have been utilized in the analysis of non-negative integer-valued time series to sequentially obtain closed form filtering and predictive densities. In this study, we show the underlying mechanics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Kaoru Irie , Tevfik Aktekin

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

Astronomical measurements are often integrated over finite exposures, which can obscure latent variability on comparable timescales. Correctly accounting for exposure integration with Gaussian Processes (GPs) in such scenarios is essential…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-05-14 Ryan A. Rubenzahl , Soichiro Hattori , Simo Särkkä , Will M. Farr , Jacob K. Luhn , Megan Bedell , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

For a learning task, Gaussian process (GP) is interested in learning the statistical relationship between inputs and outputs, since it offers not only the prediction mean but also the associated variability. The vanilla GP however struggles…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

Gaussian Process (GP) emulators are widely used to approximate complex computer model behaviour across the input space. Motivated by the problem of coupling computer models, recently progress has been made in the theory of the analysis of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-20 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

A nonparametric Bayesian sparse graph linear dynamical system (SGLDS) is proposed to model sequentially observed multivariate data. SGLDS uses the Bernoulli-Poisson link together with a gamma process to generate an infinite dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Rahi Kalantari , Joydeep Ghosh , Mingyuan Zhou

Fitting Gaussian Processes (GPs) provides interpretable aleatoric uncertainty quantification for estimation of spatio-temporal fields. Spatio-temporal deep learning models, while scalable, typically assume a simplistic independent…